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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 11 · 28 October 2026 · 20:00

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: prediction, odds and betting tip – 28 October 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Heart Of Midlothian3.99
XDraw3.91
2Rangers1.89

Top price available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 28 October 2026 · 20:00 at Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh), Heart Of Midlothian take on Rangers. We make Rangers (51%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Rangers -0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Chance 51% · confidence medium

Wins: Rangers win. Loses: a draw, Rangers lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.54
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Rangers with over 2.5 goals
2.91
34% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Rangers (X2) at a probability of 76%, with odds of up to 1.25.
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Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Heart Of Midlothian lie 3rd, having collected 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L); Rangers lie 2nd, having collected 24 points (7W 3D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Heart Of Midlothian average 2.2 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.7 for and 0.7 against for Rangers.
  3. Form in the competition. Heart Of Midlothian: 6W 1D 3L, goals 22–15; Rangers: 7W 2D 1L, goals 17–7.
  4. Head to head. In 52 previous meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have taken 11 wins to Rangers's 32 wins, plus 9 draws; the goal tally stands at 48–103.

What to expect

In our view Rangers hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 52; Heart Of Midlothian 11 wins, 9 draws, Rangers 32 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Heart Of Midlothian 22–15, Rangers 17–7.
  4. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
  5. Unavailable: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Rangers will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.993.911.89
Market average3.873.791.87
Lowest odds3.723.721.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1879.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6159.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.372.3241.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.592.4738.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5559.7%
BTTS – no2.332.2940.3%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 Rangers, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points), Rangers 2nd (24 points).
  • Form in the competition: Heart Of Midlothian 6W 1D 3L (22:15), Rangers 7W 2D 1L (17:7).
  • H2H: 52 matches: Heart Of Midlothian 11W 9D 32L, goals 48–103.
  • Absences: Heart Of Midlothian 0, Rangers 0.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Heart Of Midlothian24%
Draw25%
Rangers51%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.6% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Rangers (X2)75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.54
Likely
Both teams to score: yes59.7% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals59.0% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.63
Possible
Rangers to win50.6% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.89
Possible
Under 2.5 goals41.0% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.37
Outsider
Both teams to score: no40.3% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.33
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.59
Outsider
Draw24.9% · fair odds 4.01 · best 3.91
Outsider
Heart Of Midlothian to win24.4% · fair odds 4.09 · best 3.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 19.0%
0 : 28.1%
2 : 16.5%
1 : 06.0%

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: injuries and missing players

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Rangers

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Heart Of Midlothian

5 NovLFC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Rangers

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
24 OctWRangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWRangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
20 SeptWCeltic 0–1 Rangers

Home and away

Heart Of Midlothian at home5 matches: 4W 1D 0L, goals 15–4
Rangers away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 9–6

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers: last matches of both teams

Heart Of Midlothian

L 5/11/26 · FC Thun 3–1 Heart Of Midlothian
W 25/10/26 · Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
L 22/10/26 · Trabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
L 18/10/26 · Celtic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Rangers

W 24/10/26 · Rangers 4–0 ST Johnstone
D 17/10/26 · Dundee 2–2 Rangers
W 10/10/26 · Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock
W 20/9/26 · Celtic 0–1 Rangers

Team comparison

Heart Of MidlothianRangers
35%Form65%
48%Attack52%
23%Defence77%
60%Head to head40%
50%Goals50%
48.8%Overall51.2%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Heart Of MidlothianDWLWD
RangersDWDWW

Head to head

All matches
11Heart Of Midlothian
9Draws
32Rangers
28/10/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
4/5/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
15/2/26 · Rangers 4–2 Heart Of Midlothian
21/12/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Rangers
13/9/25 · Rangers 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
16/2/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–3 Rangers

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Rangers -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?

Our estimate gives Heart Of Midlothian a 24% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rangers 51%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 28 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.

Who will be missing?

Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Rangers: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.37).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 1–2 (9.7%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.