Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg, 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), with Espen Eskås, Norway officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF lie 9th, having collected 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L); Rosenborg lie 4th, having collected 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 7 wins to Rosenborg's 9 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 38–43.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Rosenborg, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 63%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 wins, 7 draws, Rosenborg 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
- Unavailable: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Alternative tip: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X)
Another angle: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (probability 65%, top price 1.50). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Rosenborg will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.36 | 4.02 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.81 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.71 | 2.53 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 7W 7D 9L, goals 38–43.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: injuries and missing players
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- No reported absences
Rosenborg
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: last matches of both teams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (1.50); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Our estimate gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosenborg 35%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 13:30, venue Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Espen Eskås, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Rosenborg: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.50) and under 2.5 goals at 37% (odds 2.71).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.2%), then 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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