Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF welcome Kristiansund BK on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), and the referee is Mathias Stofringshaug. Sarpsborg 08 FF (63%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Sarpsborg 08 FF win by 2 or more. Stake back: Sarpsborg 08 FF win by 1. Loses: a draw, Sarpsborg 08 FF lose.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Sarpsborg 08 FF lie 9th, having collected 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L); Kristiansund BK lie 15th, having collected 23 points (6W 5D 14L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Sarpsborg 08 FF average 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.0 for and 2.0 against for Kristiansund BK.
- Form in the competition. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 8W 7D 9L, goals 30–35; Kristiansund BK: 5W 5D 14L, goals 25–49.
- Head to head. In 19 previous meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF have taken 4 wins to Kristiansund BK's 9 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 23–32.
What to expect
In our view Sarpsborg 08 FF hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 19; Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 wins, 6 draws, Kristiansund BK 9 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30–35, Kristiansund BK 25–49.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK will be without: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.31 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.49 | 5.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.42 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.74 | 34.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.09 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.36 | 39.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Kristiansund BK, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 8W 7D 9L (30:35), Kristiansund BK 5W 5D 14L (25:49).
- H2H: 19 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4W 6D 9L, goals 23–32.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: injuries and missing players
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- F. Carstenseninjury · will miss the match
- D. Karlsbakkabsence · will miss the match
- M. Opokuankle injury · will miss the match
Kristiansund BK
- I. H. Aalberggroin injury · will miss the match
- L. Alvheimabsence · will miss the match
- D. Ulvestadred card · will miss the match
- W. Igorknee injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: last matches of both teams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Sarpsborg 08 FFLWLWLKristiansund BKWDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Sarpsborg 08 FF -1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Our estimate gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kristiansund BK 16%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.8%), then 2–0 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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