Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Sandefjord vs Molde (Eliteserien, 8 November 2026, 16:00): Sandefjord +1 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.68. Second tip: Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.87. The bookmakers' odds give Sandefjord 24%, the draw 22% and Molde 54%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Wins: Sandefjord win, a draw. Stake back: Sandefjord lose by 1. Loses: Sandefjord lose by 2 or more.
Sandefjord vs Molde preview and prediction
Molde occupy 3rd in Eliteserien with 43 points from 25 matches, whereas Sandefjord sit 12th with 27 from the same number of games. That sixteen-point difference in this competition is the first thing any reader notices. Still, the odds offer more scope than the league table implies, and that is the angle worth examining when Sandefjord meet Molde at Jotun Arena on 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 in matchweek 26.
The key facts
- Likely result: Sandefjord 1–2 Molde, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sandefjord 12th (27 points), Molde 3rd (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Sandefjord 7W 6D 12L (26:34), Molde 13W 4D 8L (59:39).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sandefjord 6W 2D 10L, goals 27–39.
- Absences: Sandefjord 0, Molde 0.
Sandefjord's home record
Sandefjord have claimed 7 wins and suffered 12 defeats in this competition. At home the figures are 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded. That is not a venue where they have generated much momentum. Looking at their most recent five outings in every tournament, they collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with a goal tally of 8:7. The latest of those was a 4-3 victory on the road at Aalesund.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Molde's attack against a leaky backline
Molde have claimed 13 wins from 25 games in this tournament, finding the net 59 times, while their record across every competition reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with goals 16:9. A 6-1 thrashing of Start and a 5-1 rout of Fredrikstad highlight how fast they capitalise when a backline leaves space. Their most recent stumble came in a 3-2 loss at Brann on 1 November. Note that these table figures reflect only the league campaign, leaving cup and European fixtures out of the count.
Sandefjord vs Molde: last matches of both teams
Sandefjord
Molde
Goals: the numbers lean Molde's way
In this competition, Sandefjord average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Molde average 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. The attacking difference is what we weigh most heavily, and it suggests Molde will more often than not be the side that scores. Bookmakers forecast roughly 3 goals overall, with Molde around two and Sandefjord around one. The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 70%, and Molde have cleared that mark in all of their last five games across every competition. Both teams to score is offered at 68%. We anticipate goals, though we don't believe Sandefjord will hand over the match without a fight.
Eighteen meetings, and Molde usually ahead
Across their last 18 encounters, Molde have come out on top 10 times, Sandefjord 6 times, and two games finished all square. Molde have found the net 39 times to Sandefjord's 27. That points to a edge for Molde, though not a runaway one. Their latest clash, a 2-1 home victory for Molde on 30 May 2026, was a close affair, while Sandefjord's 3-0 home win on 6 April 2025 proves they have also taken points off Molde on days that went their way. The head-to-head history offers useful context, but the mixed outcomes mean it should not be the sole basis for a view.
Head to head
All matchesSandefjord vs Molde: injuries and missing players
Sandefjord
- No reported absences
Molde
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
No absences reported for either side
Neither club has had any injury or suspension updates, so both sides should be close to full strength. That removes one simple talking point and shifts the call toward recent form and the odds. We would keep it at that and not overthink it.
Sandefjord vs Molde: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 4.08 | 4.46 | 1.79 |
| Market average | 3.85 | 4.20 | 1.74 |
| Lowest odds | 3.33 | 3.68 | 1.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.32 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.20 | 29.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.36 | 68.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
SandefjordWLLDWMoldeLWWDLOur Sandefjord vs Molde betting tip: Sandefjord +1
Our main tip is Sandefjord +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.70 (chance 57%). With the +1 start, Sandefjord only need to avoid a loss by two goals or more; a single-goal defeat still hands back the stake. The market puts this line at 57% at best odds of 1.70, and that is the figure we are working from. Molde are the favourites to win outright, yet a margin of two goals is not the most probable result. We would rather take 1.70 than the 1.76 quoted on Molde to win, since this line keeps the bet alive even if Sandefjord drop a goal.
On the likeliest scorelines it settles like this: 1-2 returns the stake, 1-1 wins, 1-3 loses, 0-2 loses, 2-2 wins, and 0-1 returns the stake.
Our Over 3.5 goals at odds 1.91 (chance 50%) pick ranks as the second selection. Molde have cleared the 2.5-goal mark in all of their previous five outings, while our projected total sits at roughly 4 goals. The betting market, however, places the figure nearer 3, so this is the higher-risk option of the pair. Winning scorelines are 1-3 and 2-2; losing ones are 1-2, 1-1, 0-2 and 0-1.
Sandefjord vs Molde: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sandefjord
Home and away
Lower-risk options for cautious bettors
- Sandefjord +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.23 (chance 77%). The stake comes back on a loss by exactly 2, and only a margin of 3 goals or more against Sandefjord takes the bet down.
- Draw or Molde (X2) at odds 1.26 (chance 76%).
- Sandefjord +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.45 (chance 66%). The stake is only lost if Sandefjord are beaten by two goals or more.
Molde to edge it, Sandefjord to make it hard
Molde is the side more likely to win, and the odds back that up. We think Sandefjord will be a tough opponent, and a close Molde victory or even a draw-type result for the home side would be no surprise. Our top selection is Sandefjord +1 at 1.70; if you prefer to play the over, size that bet conservatively.
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Sandefjord vs Molde?
Sandefjord +1 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Over 3.5 goals (1.87).
Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?
Our estimate gives Sandefjord a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Molde 54%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord. Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam.
Who will be missing?
Sandefjord: no absences. Molde: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.35) and under 2.5 goals at 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 68% (odds 1.40).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–2 (9.1%), then 1–1 (8.3%) and 1–3 (6.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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