Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.65. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.86. The bookmakers' odds give Real Madrid 78%, the draw 14% and Celta Vigo 8%. The most likely score is 2–0.
Wins: Real Madrid win by 2 or more. Loses: Real Madrid win by 1, a draw, Real Madrid lose.
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Real Madrid lie 3rd, having collected 27 points after 11 matches (9W 0D 2L); Celta Vigo lie 11th, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 3L).
What to expect
In our view Real Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 3–1 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.24), the goals markets are also worth considering: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.86), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
- Unavailable: Real Madrid 0, Celta Vigo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 52%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Real Madrid: no absences. Celta Vigo will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.24 | 7.47 | 14.60 |
| Market average | 1.21 | 6.67 | 12.40 |
| Lowest odds | 1.17 | 6.09 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.12 | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.43 | 1.40 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.05 | 2.90 | 32.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.02 | 47.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.93 | 48.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 21:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Real Madrid 2–0 Celta Vigo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Real Madrid 3rd (27 points), Celta Vigo 11th (12 points).
- Absences: Real Madrid 0, Celta Vigo 0.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: injuries and missing players
Real Madrid
- No reported absences
Celta Vigo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Real Madrid
Home and away
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: last matches of both teams
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.86).
Who will win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Our estimate gives Real Madrid a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Celta Vigo 8%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid.
Who will be missing?
Real Madrid: no absences. Celta Vigo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.43) and under 2.5 goals at 33% (odds 3.05).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.6%), then 3–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (8.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.