Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 1 November 2026 · 15:15 at El Sardinero (Santander), Racing Santander take on Real Madrid, with José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain in charge. We make Real Madrid (78%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Racing Santander lie 16th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Real Madrid lie 3rd, having collected 27 points (9W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Racing Santander average 1.5 goals for and 2.6 against, compared with 2.5 for and 1.0 against for Real Madrid.
- Form in the competition. Racing Santander: 3W 2D 5L, goals 15–26; Real Madrid: 8W 0D 2L, goals 25–10.
- Head to head. In 5 previous meetings, Racing Santander have taken 0 wins to Real Madrid's 4 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 2–16.
What to expect
In our view Real Madrid hold the advantage. We project a 1–3 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–3 (8.2%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.26), the goals markets are also worth considering: Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 59% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 59%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 77%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 5; Racing Santander 0 wins, 1 draw, Real Madrid 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Racing Santander 15–26, Real Madrid 25–10.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 77%.
- Unavailable: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Another angle: Over 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid will be without: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 11.50 | 8.50 | 1.26 |
| Market average | 10.82 | 7.58 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 8.87 | 6.76 | 1.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.04 | 89.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 4.03 | 23.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 58.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 13:36. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Racing Santander 1–3 Real Madrid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Real Madrid 3rd (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Racing Santander 3W 2D 5L (15:26), Real Madrid 8W 0D 2L (25:10).
- H2H: 5 matches: Racing Santander 0W 1D 4L, goals 2–16.
- Absences: Racing Santander 2, Real Madrid 5.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: injuries and missing players
Racing Santander
- A. Martinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Salinasabsence · will miss the match
Real Madrid
- R. Asenciobroken leg · will miss the match
- F. Mendyhip injury · will miss the match
- Rodrygoknee injury · will miss the match
- F. Valverdehamstring injury · will miss the match
- Vinicius Juniorred card · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10-0-1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9-1-1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9-0-2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7-2-2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6-1-4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 3-5-3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 |  Alavés | 12 | 3-4-5 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3-3-5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2-6-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 11 | 3-3-5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3-2-6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 11 | 3-2-6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3-2-6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2-4-5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2-4-5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2-3-6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0-5-6 | 8:21 | 5 |
Recent matches
Racing Santander
Home and away
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: last matches of both teams
Racing Santander
Real Madrid
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Racing SantanderLWLDLReal MadridWWWWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid -2 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Our estimate gives Racing Santander a 9% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Real Madrid 78%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 15:15, venue El Sardinero, Santander. Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Racing Santander: A. Martin, J. Salinas. Real Madrid: R. Asencio, F. Mendy, Rodrygo, F. Valverde, Vinicius Junior. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 77% (odds 1.27) and under 2.5 goals at 23% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–3 (8.2%), then 0–3 (8.2%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.