Football
Home › Predictions › Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
La Liga · Matchweek 13 · 22 November 2026 · 16:00

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 November 2026, La Liga

1Racing Santander3.27
XDraw4.06
2Real Sociedad2.16

Top price available · Updated 6/11/26, 21:50

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
Kick-off in
0Days
0Hours
0Minutes
0Seconds
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisFAQ

Our tip for Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad (La Liga, 22 November 2026, 16:00): Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.83. Second tip: Real Sociedad to win at odds of 2.16. The bookmakers' odds give Racing Santander 30%, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad 45%. The most likely score is 1–1.

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.83
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Real Sociedad to win
2.16
Chance 45% · confidence low
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Real Sociedad (X2) at a probability of 70%, with odds of up to 1.39.
Freshbet100% UP TO £1500
Bet now →

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Racing Santander lie 16th, having collected 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L); Real Sociedad lie 5th, having collected 19 points (6W 1D 4L).

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (9.7%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 67%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
  2. Unavailable: Racing Santander 0, Real Sociedad 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.83). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Racing Santander: no absences. Real Sociedad will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available3.274.062.16
Market average3.113.882.09
Lowest odds2.833.572.02
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1283.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.451.4366.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.7734.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.142.0945.9%
BTTS – yes1.401.4066.6%
BTTS – no2.812.7833.4%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 21:50. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Racing Santander 1–1 Real Sociedad, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Racing Santander 16th (11 points), Real Sociedad 5th (19 points).
  • Absences: Racing Santander 0, Real Sociedad 0.

Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?

Racing Santander30%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad45%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.14
Likely
Draw or Real Sociedad (X2)69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Both teams to score: yes66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 2.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.45
Likely
Under 3.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.83
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.14
Outsider
Real Sociedad to win45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.16
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.88
Outsider
Both teams to score: no33.4% · fair odds 2.99 · best 2.81
Outsider
Racing Santander to win30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.27
Outsider
Draw24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 4.06
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

1 : 19.7%
1 : 29.0%
2 : 17.3%
2 : 26.8%
0 : 16.5%
0 : 26.0%

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: injuries and missing players

Racing Santander

  • No reported absences

Real Sociedad

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla125-3-417:1918
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Alavés123-4-515:1713
10Villarreal113-3-515:1512
11Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Racing Santander

1 NovLRacing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
24 OctWRacing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
18 OctLOsasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
11 OctDRacing Santander 2–2 Valencia
19 SeptLCelta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Real Sociedad

5 NovDReal Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
1 NovLAthletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
25 OctWReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
22 OctWLillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
18 OctWMálaga 2–5 Real Sociedad

Home and away

Racing Santander at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–11
Real Sociedad away6 matches: 3W 0D 3L, goals 13–13

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad: last matches of both teams

Racing Santander

L 1/11/26 · Racing Santander 0–3 Real Madrid
W 24/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–1 Espanyol
L 18/10/26 · Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander
D 11/10/26 · Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia
L 19/9/26 · Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander

Real Sociedad

D 5/11/26 · Real Sociedad 1–1 Lyon
L 1/11/26 · Athletic Club 2–1 Real Sociedad
W 25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
W 22/10/26 · Lillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad
W 18/10/26 · Málaga 2–5 Real Sociedad

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?

Under 3.5 goals (1.83); Real Sociedad to win (2.16).

Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad?

Our estimate gives Racing Santander a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad 45%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Estadio El Sardinero, Santander.

Who will be missing?

Racing Santander: no absences. Real Sociedad: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.45) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 67% (odds 1.40).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (9.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.3%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Málaga vs Racing Santander 7 NovEspanyol vs Deportivo La Coruña 7 NovOsasuna vs Athletic Club 7 NovValencia vs Real Madrid 7 NovElche vs Real Betis 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

Freshbet100% UP TO £1500