Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Northampton vs Colchester, 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), with S. Jackson officiating. The odds point to Northampton (46%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Northampton vs Colchester: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Northampton lie 21st, having collected 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L); Colchester lie 23rd, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
- Head to head. In 10 previous meetings, Northampton have taken 8 wins to Colchester's 2 wins, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 17–11.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.7%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 10; Northampton 8 wins, 0 draws, Colchester 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.8 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Northampton: no absences. Colchester will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Northampton vs Colchester: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.84 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.99 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.14 | 43.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.67 | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.84 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 10:04. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Colchester, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Northampton 21st (14 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Northampton 8W 0D 2L, goals 17–11.
- Absences: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Northampton vs Colchester: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Northampton vs Colchester: injuries and missing players
Northampton
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Northampton
Home and away
Northampton vs Colchester: last matches of both teams
Northampton
Colchester
Head to head
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Northampton vs Colchester?
Draw or Colchester (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
Our estimate gives Northampton a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Colchester 25%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 12:30, venue Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: S. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Northampton: no absences. Colchester: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.17) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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