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League Two · Matchweek 9 · 3 November 2026 · 19:45

Northampton vs Oldham: prediction, odds and betting tip – 3 November 2026, League Two

0–1
WLDLW
1Northampton2.39
XDraw3.30
2Oldham3.15

Top price available · Updated 3/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 3 November 2026 · 19:45 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), Northampton take on Oldham. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Northampton vs Oldham: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Northampton +0 (Asian handicap)
1.68
Chance 57% · confidence medium

Wins: Northampton win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Northampton lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
Chance 56% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Northampton vs Oldham: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Northampton lie 21st, having collected 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L); Oldham lie 18th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Northampton average 0.8 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.5 against for Oldham.
  3. Form in the competition. Northampton: 3W 5D 4L, goals 9–9; Oldham: 3W 3D 7L, goals 14–19.
  4. Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Northampton have taken 4 wins to Oldham's 4 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–19.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 11; Northampton 4 wins, 3 draws, Oldham 4 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 3.4 goals a game on average.
  3. Scored and conceded in this competition: Northampton 9–9, Oldham 14–19.
  4. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
  5. Unavailable: Northampton 0, Oldham 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes

Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Northampton: no absences. Oldham will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Northampton vs Oldham: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.393.303.15
Market average2.333.203.04
Lowest odds2.243.002.85
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.381.3568.6%
Over 2.5 goals2.192.1344.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6855.8%
Over 3.5 goals4.003.7824.6%
BTTS – yes1.871.8350.5%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Oldham, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Northampton 21st (14 points), Oldham 18th (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: Northampton 3W 5D 4L (9:9), Oldham 3W 3D 7L (14:19).
  • H2H: 11 matches: Northampton 4W 3D 4L, goals 18–19.
  • Absences: Northampton 0, Oldham 0.

Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?

Northampton40%
Draw29%
Oldham31%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Northampton vs Oldham: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals75.4% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Northampton or draw (1X)69.3% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.42
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.38
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams to score: yes50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams to score: no49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.19
Outsider
Northampton to win40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.39
Outsider
Oldham to win30.7% · fair odds 3.26 · best 3.15
Outsider
Draw29.2% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.6% · fair odds 4.07 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.2%

Correct score tips

1 : 113.0%
1 : 011.8%
0 : 110.0%
0 : 09.1%
2 : 18.4%
2 : 07.7%

Northampton vs Oldham: injuries and missing players

Northampton

  • No reported absences

Oldham

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Salford City1410-1-325:1531
2Barnet137-5-128:1826
3Walsall135-7-121:1222
4Crewe145-7-217:1722
5Cheltenham146-3-523:2521
6Grimsby145-5-424:1820
7York145-5-424:2120
8Gillingham145-5-420:1920
9Accrington ST144-7-323:1719
10Chesterfield145-4-524:2119
11Tranmere144-7-319:1719
12Exeter City145-4-511:919
13Swindon Town145-4-515:1719
14Newport County144-6-420:1718
15Shrewsbury145-3-617:2218
16Fleetwood Town144-5-518:1817
17Bristol Rovers145-1-817:2316
18Oldham144-3-715:1915
19Port Vale124-3-510:1415
20Rochdale144-3-717:2615
21Northampton133-5-59:1014
22Rotherham142-6-618:2512
23Colchester132-6-512:1912
24Crawley Town122-3-713:219

Recent matches

Northampton

3 NovLNorthampton 0–1 Oldham
31 OctDAccrington ST 1–1 Northampton
24 OctWNorthampton 2–0 Colchester
20 OctLNorthampton 0–1 Tranmere
17 OctWGrimsby 0–2 Northampton

Oldham

3 NovWNorthampton 0–1 Oldham
31 OctLOldham 0–1 Crawley Town
24 OctDBarnet 1–1 Oldham
20 OctLWalsall 3–0 Oldham
17 OctWOldham 4–1 Cheltenham

Home and away

Northampton at home7 matches: 2W 2D 3L, goals 4–4
Oldham away7 matches: 1W 2D 4L, goals 4–11

Northampton vs Oldham: last matches of both teams

Northampton

D 31/10/26 · Accrington ST 1–1 Northampton
W 24/10/26 · Northampton 2–0 Colchester
L 20/10/26 · Northampton 0–1 Tranmere
W 17/10/26 · Grimsby 0–2 Northampton

Oldham

L 31/10/26 · Oldham 0–1 Crawley Town
D 24/10/26 · Barnet 1–1 Oldham
L 20/10/26 · Walsall 3–0 Oldham
W 17/10/26 · Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham

Team comparison

NorthamptonOldham
62%Form38%
55%Attack45%
67%Defence33%
62%Head to head38%
54%Goals46%
62.8%Overall37.2%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

NorthamptonLDWLW
OldhamWLDLW

Head to head

All matches
4Northampton
3Draws
4Oldham
3/11/26 · Northampton 0–1 Oldham
1/11/25 · Oldham 3–1 Northampton
15/4/22 · Oldham 0–2 Northampton
23/11/21 · Northampton 2–1 Oldham
2/11/19 · Oldham 2–2 Northampton
4/5/19 · Oldham 2–5 Northampton

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Northampton vs Oldham?

Northampton +0 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).

Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?

Our estimate gives Northampton a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Oldham 31%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 19:45, venue Sixfields Stadium, Northampton.

Who will be missing?

Northampton: no absences. Oldham: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.19) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.87).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.8%) and 0–1 (10.0%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Exeter City vs Cheltenham 14 NovRotherham vs Crawley Town 14 NovBristol Rovers vs Chesterfield 14 NovRochdale vs York 14 NovWalsall vs Barnet 14 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.