Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Accrington ST vs Northampton, 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The Crown Ground (Accrington). Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Accrington ST win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Accrington ST lose.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Accrington ST lie 9th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (4W 7D 3L); Northampton lie 21st, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Accrington ST average 1.7 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 0.7 for and 0.7 against for Northampton.
- Form in the competition. Accrington ST: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–16; Northampton: 3W 4D 4L, goals 8–8.
- Head to head. In 12 previous meetings, Accrington ST have taken 3 wins to Northampton's 5 wins, plus 4 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–19.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (13.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 43%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 12; Accrington ST 3 wins, 4 draws, Northampton 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Accrington ST 22–16, Northampton 8–8.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
- Unavailable: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Accrington ST: no absences. Northampton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.16 | 3.25 |
| Lowest odds | 2.02 | 2.95 | 2.98 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.17 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.99 | 23.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 13:41. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Accrington ST 1–1 Northampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Accrington ST 9th (19 points), Northampton 21st (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Accrington ST 4W 6D 3L (22:16), Northampton 3W 4D 4L (8:8).
- H2H: 12 matches: Accrington ST 3W 4D 5L, goals 13–19.
- Absences: Accrington ST 0, Northampton 0.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Accrington ST vs Northampton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Accrington ST vs Northampton: injuries and missing players
Accrington ST
- No reported absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Accrington ST
Home and away
Accrington ST vs Northampton: last matches of both teams
Accrington ST
Northampton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Accrington STDWDWDNorthamptonLDWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Accrington ST -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 2.5 goals (1.67).
Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?
Our estimate gives Accrington ST a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Northampton 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 15:00, venue The Crown Ground, Accrington.
Who will be missing?
Accrington ST: no absences. Northampton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.26) and under 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (13.0%), then 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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