Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield), Chesterfield take on Colchester, with P. Howard in charge. We make Chesterfield (60%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Chesterfield win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Chesterfield win by 1. Loses: a draw, Chesterfield lose.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Chesterfield lie 10th, having collected 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L); Colchester lie 23rd, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
What to expect
In our view Chesterfield hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
- Unavailable: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Chesterfield: no absences. Colchester will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.62 | 4.43 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.16 | 5.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 3.77 | 4.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Chesterfield 2–1 Colchester, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Chesterfield vs Colchester: injuries and missing players
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Chesterfield
Home and away
Chesterfield vs Colchester: last matches of both teams
Chesterfield
Colchester
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Chesterfield -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our estimate gives Chesterfield a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colchester 18%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 19:45, venue SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: P. Howard.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Colchester: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (10.0%), then 2–0 (10.0%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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