Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen (Scottish Premiership, 21 November 2026, 15:00): Kilmarnock +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.78. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Kilmarnock 30%, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 45%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Kilmarnock win, a draw. Loses: Kilmarnock lose.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Kilmarnock lie 11th, having collected 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L); Aberdeen lie 10th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. In 55 previous meetings, Kilmarnock have taken 11 wins to Aberdeen's 33 wins, plus 11 draws; the goal tally stands at 47–85.
What to expect
In our view Aberdeen hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 61%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 55; Kilmarnock 11 wins, 11 draws, Aberdeen 33 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 61%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Kilmarnock: no absences. Aberdeen will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.20 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.66 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.30 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:18. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), Aberdeen 10th (11 points).
- H2H: 55 matches: Kilmarnock 11W 11D 33L, goals 47–85.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, Aberdeen 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: injuries and missing players
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Aberdeen
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: last matches of both teams
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Our estimate gives Kilmarnock a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 21 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. Aberdeen: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.62) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 1–2 (9.2%) and 0–1 (8.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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