Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien, 8 November 2026, 16:00): Ham-Kam +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.94. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.50. The bookmakers' odds give Ham-Kam 32%, the draw 25% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 43%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Wins: Ham-Kam win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Ham-Kam lose.
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction
Can Ham-Kam's home form hold up against a Sarpsborg side that concedes less than they do? That is the question Eliteserien Matchweek 26 turns on, when Ham-Kam host Sarpsborg 08 FF at Briskeby Arena in Hamar on 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:00. We think the answer leans toward the home side, but not toward a straight win.
The key facts
- Likely result: Ham-Kam 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ham-Kam 13th (27 points), Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points).
- Form in the competition: Ham-Kam 7W 6D 12L (35:53), Sarpsborg 08 FF 8W 7D 10L (32:39).
- H2H: 15 matches: Ham-Kam 3W 3D 9L, goals 23–29.
- Absences: Ham-Kam 0, Sarpsborg 08 FF 0.
Ham-Kam at home, and the table behind it
Ham-Kam are 13th in this competition with 27 points from 25 matches: 7 wins, 6 draws, 12 defeats, and goals 35:53. At home the picture is kinder, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats at Briskeby and 17 goals scored against 24 conceded. The season averages in this competition are 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per match, so the attack has been ordinary and the back line has been the real problem.
Their recent results in all competitions are another matter, and they do not always agree with the table. The Counts for their last five matches read 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost, with goals 8:12. The 2-4 win at Start and the 2-2 draw at KFUM Oslo were the good days. The 0-2 defeat to Bodø/Glimt and the 0-3 defeat to Rosenborg, both at home, were the bad ones, and they came in the same run as the away loss at Tromsø.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Ham-Kam
Home and away
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: last matches of both teams
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg are sounder than their away record suggests
Sarpsborg are ninth on 31 points, with 8 wins, 7 draws, 10 defeats and goals 32:39 in this competition. Their defence is the better of the two, conceding 1.6 per match, and they score 1.3. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, with 16 scored and 19 conceded. That road record is the reason we are not keen to back them to win on the night.
Their last five in all competitions have been mixed. The Counts read 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost, with goals 9:13. The 4-2 win at Aalesund and the 2-1 home win over Aalesund show what they can do, while the home defeats to KFUM Oslo (1-3), Rosenborg (0-3) and Kristiansund BK (2-4) show what goes wrong. Sarpsborg's home results in that run were poor.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Head-to-head: the strongest argument against us
The meetings are where the case for Ham-Kam gets thin. Across the last 15 meetings, Sarpsborg have won 9, Ham-Kam have won 3, and 3 have been drawn, with goals 23:29. The latest was a 1-0 Sarpsborg win on 26 July 2026, and the 2-2 draw on 26 March 2026 is the best result Ham-Kam can point to from that stretch. A nine-to-three win count is not something we can wave away, and it is the main reason our main tip stops at the double chance rather than a straight Ham-Kam win.
Head to head
All matchesHam-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: injuries and missing players
Ham-Kam
- No reported absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team news and what the bookmakers expect
No absences have been reported for either side, so the line-ups should look close to what we would expect.
The bookmakers make Sarpsborg the favourites with a 44% chance and best odds of 2.17. Ham-Kam are at 31% (best odds 3.10), and the draw at 25% (best odds 3.88). The margin on the match result is 8.1%. These are market chances, a picture of what the bookmakers expect, and they are not a record of how often these sides have won. The expected goals are 1 for Ham-Kam and 2 for Sarpsborg, roughly three in total, and the most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 10.6%, 1-2 at 9.0% and 2-1 at 7.7%.
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.07 | 3.88 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 2.94 | 3.70 | 2.16 |
| Lowest odds | 2.74 | 3.35 | 2.06 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.55 | 36.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 04:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.5%.
Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Ham-Kam or draw at 1.94
Our main tip is Ham-Kam or draw (1X) at odds 1.94, with a chance of 51%. We argue it on two things only. Ham-Kam have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 5 at home in this competition, and the market puts the 1X result at 51% with best odds of 1.94. That home record is not strong enough to back the side to beat Sarpsborg outright, but it is enough to think a home point is a fair price.
The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 2-2 and 1-0, and loses on 1-2 and 0-1. The market's second most likely score, 1-2, is the one that sinks it, and that is the risk we are taking.
Our second tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.50, with a chance of 64%. Both teams scored in 3 of Ham-Kam's last 5 matches and in 4 of Sarpsborg's last 5, and Sarpsborg failed to score in only 1 of those five. The expected total of about three goals and the market's 64% chance at 1.50 complete the case. The bet wins on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 0-1 and 1-0. It does not need Ham-Kam to win, and it shares the 1-1 and 2-1 results with the main tip.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Ham-KamDLLWLSarpsborg 08 FFLWLWLTwo other bets we would take
If you want a cushion, we like a few alternatives alongside the tips:
- Ham-Kam +1.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.26, chance 75%. This wins unless Ham-Kam lose by two or more goals, so a narrow home defeat still leaves the ticket alive. It is the most sensible way to back the hosts without relying on a draw.
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, chance 61%. This sits well with the second tip, since both sides have been scoring in recent matches, and it is the market's own view of the goals rather than a result bet.
Verdict: a home point is the value
Sarpsborg have the better defence and the better head-to-head, and the market is right to make them favourites. Our view is narrower. Ham-Kam's home record is enough to make the draw and the home win realistic, and 1.94 pays fairly for that. We would not back Sarpsborg away from home with any real conviction, and we would keep the stakes on the double chance and the second tip, with the over 2.5 goals as a companion bet.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Ham-Kam +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our estimate gives Ham-Kam a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 43%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Briskeby, Hamar. Referee: Tore Hansen.
Who will be missing?
Ham-Kam: no absences. Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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