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La Liga · Matchweek 12 · 8 November 2026 · 17:30

Celta Vigo vs Levante: prediction, odds and betting tip – 8 November 2026, La Liga

VS
LLWDD
1Celta Vigo1.94
XDraw3.80
2Levante4.55

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:58

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Our tip for Celta Vigo vs Levante (La Liga, 8 November 2026, 17:30): Iago Aspas anytime scorer at odds of 2.90. The bookmakers' odds give Celta Vigo 51%, the draw 26% and Levante 23%.

Celta Vigo vs Levante: tip and prediction
Our tip
Iago Aspas anytime scorer
2.90

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Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction: Iago Aspas to Score Anytime

Our preferred Celta Vigo vs Levante bet is Iago Aspas to score anytime at 2.90. Balaídos hosts a meeting between two sides beaten heavily last weekend, and in home games against bottom‑half opposition there is one name Celta always turn to – their all‑time talisman.

Aspas remains the decisive figure in Vigo more than a decade into his Celta story. He was on the scoresheet again in a recent outing, and against an 18th‑placed Levante side that concedes chances in bunches, the veteran will find his spaces between the lines.

Celta were beaten 3‑0 at Rayo last weekend, a result that flatters the margin, but at Balaídos they remain a different proposition. Levante arrive off a 2‑0 home defeat to Atlético Madrid and have been inconsistent all season.

With the hosts needing a response before the international break and the crowd behind them, expect Celta on the front foot and their captain at the heart of it. Aspas anytime at 2.90 is the value play of the round.

The key facts

  • Likely result: Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celta Vigo 11th (12 points), Levante 18th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Celta Vigo 2W 6D 3L (10:10), Levante 2W 4D 5L (16:21).
  • H2H: 20 matches: Celta Vigo 12W 3D 5L, goals 34–25.
  • Absences: Celta Vigo 0, Levante 0.

Celta Vigo vs Levante: Date, Kick‑Off Time and Venue

Celta Vigo host Levante on Sunday, 8 November 2026, in the twelfth round of La Liga. Kick‑off at the Municipal de Balaídos in Vigo is 17:30 local time.

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Celta Vigo51%
Draw26%
Levante23%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Celta Vigo vs Levante Betting Odds and Best Markets

The models make Celta favourites – a win probability around 44 % against Levante's 29 % – so the home win is the conservative angle. The standout value sits in the scorer market: Aspas at 2.90 to score anytime at home against relegation candidates is a price that rarely lasts.

Ferran Jutgla, Celta's top scorer this season, is another scorer‑market option, while Roger Brugue leads Levante's charts with 16 team goals scored overall. Our preference is Aspas to score anytime at 2.90.

Celta Vigo vs Levante: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.943.804.55
Market average1.873.594.19
Lowest odds1.803.183.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2973.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.991.9349.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9050.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.413.1829.6%
BTTS – yes1.801.7653.0%
BTTS – no2.051.9847.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:58. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.3%.

All bookmakers →

Celta Vigo vs Levante: more betting tips

Celta Vigo or draw (1X)77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.0% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.4% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams to score: yes53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
Celta Vigo to win50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.94
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.3% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.97
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.7% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.99
Outsider
Both teams to score: no47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.6% · fair odds 3.37 · best 3.41
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.80
Outsider
Levante to win22.7% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.88 · Under 1.87
probability of over 49.9%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.9%
1 : 011.9%
2 : 19.5%
2 : 09.5%
0 : 17.4%
0 : 07.4%

In What Form Are Celta Vigo and Levante Coming Into the Match?

Celta's season has been a grind – ten league goals scored tells the story of a side short on cutting edge – and last weekend's 3‑0 defeat at Rayo was a low point. Home games against bottom‑half sides, though, have historically brought out their best.

Levante are 18th and were beaten 2‑0 at home by Atlético Madrid last time out. Sixteen goals scored shows they can trouble teams, but their defensive record on the road has undermined them all season.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Barcelona1110-0-146:1230
2Atlético Madrid119-1-122:828
3Real Madrid119-0-228:1027
4Real Betis117-2-218:1523
5Real Sociedad116-1-420:2019
6Sevilla125-3-417:1918
7Athletic Club104-3-314:1015
8Deportivo La Coruña113-5-315:1414
9Alavés123-4-515:1713
10Villarreal113-3-515:1512
11Celta Vigo112-6-310:1012
12Rayo Vallecano103-3-415:2012
13Getafe113-3-58:1612
14Espanyol113-2-613:1411
15Osasuna113-2-611:2211
16Racing Santander113-2-615:2911
17Elche112-4-514:1810
18Levante112-4-516:2110
19Valencia112-3-68:179
20Málaga110-5-68:215

Recent matches

Celta Vigo

5 NovLCelta Vigo 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise
31 OctLRayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
25 OctDCelta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
22 OctWCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCelta Vigo 2–1 Alavés

Levante

31 OctLLevante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
25 OctLReal Sociedad 2–1 Levante
21 OctWLevante 3–1 Athletic Club
16 OctDDeportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
12 OctDLevante 3–3 Sevilla

Home and away

Celta Vigo at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 9–6
Levante away6 matches: 0W 3D 3L, goals 3–9

Celta Vigo vs Levante: last matches of both teams

Celta Vigo

L 5/11/26 · Celta Vigo 1–2 Union Saint-Gilloise
L 31/10/26 · Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
D 25/10/26 · Celta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
W 22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo
W 18/10/26 · Celta Vigo 2–1 Alavés

Levante

L 31/10/26 · Levante 0–2 Atlético Madrid
L 25/10/26 · Real Sociedad 2–1 Levante
W 21/10/26 · Levante 3–1 Athletic Club
D 16/10/26 · Deportivo La Coruña 1–1 Levante
D 12/10/26 · Levante 3–3 Sevilla

Celta Vigo vs Levante: Key Pre‑Match Statistics

Aspas scored in a recent home appearance and remains Celta's reference point in the final third – the man their attacking patterns are built around. Against a defence as generous as Levante's, his movement in the box is the matchup that matters.

Levante have lost heavily twice in recent weeks and sit in the relegation places; Celta's home form against the division's strugglers has been their one reliable source of points this season.

Head to head

All matches
12Celta Vigo
3Draws
5Levante
12/5/26 · Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante
2/11/25 · Levante 1–2 Celta Vigo
21/2/22 · Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante
21/9/21 · Levante 0–2 Celta Vigo
30/4/21 · Celta Vigo 2–0 Levante
26/10/20 · Levante 1–1 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo vs Levante H2H History

Balaídos has traditionally been kind to Celta in this fixture, with the Galicians' technical game finding joy against Levante's open defending over the years.

With both sides arriving off defeats, the historical home edge in this matchup takes on added significance – and the crowd will expect their talisman to lead the response.

Celta Vigo vs Levante Team News: Injuries, Suspensions and Key Players

Celta will again build around Aspas, with Jutgla – the club's top scorer this season – alongside him in the final third. The hosts are expected to restore their strongest attacking configuration after the Rayo defeat.

Levante look to Brugue for goals but will be without key defensive pieces after a bruising run. Final line‑ups are confirmed an hour before kick‑off.

Celta Vigo vs Levante: injuries and missing players

Celta Vigo

  • No reported absences

Levante

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Team comparison

Celta VigoLevante
62%Form38%
47%Attack53%
69%Defence31%
71%Head to head29%
64%Goals36%
65.0%Overall35.0%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

Celta VigoLDWDW
LevanteLLWDD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Questions and answers

When is Celta Vigo vs Levante?

The match takes place on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick‑off at 17:30 local time at the Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.

What is our Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction?

We back Iago Aspas to score anytime at 2.90 – the club's all‑time talisman in a home game against 18th‑placed opposition.

Who are the key players?

Aspas and Ferran Jutgla lead Celta's attack, while Roger Brugue is Levante's main goal threat.

Which tip do we give for Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Iago Aspas anytime scorer (2.90)

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante?

Our estimate gives Celta Vigo a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Levante 23%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 8 November 2026 at 17:30, venue Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

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18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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