Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bologna welcome Monza on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna), and the referee is Andrea Zanotti. Bologna (56%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Bologna vs Monza: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Bologna lie 9th, having collected 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L); Monza lie 18th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Bologna average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.8 for and 2.4 against for Monza.
- Form in the competition. Bologna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 12–12; Monza: 2W 1D 6L, goals 16–22.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Bologna have taken 5 wins to Monza's 1 win, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 13–5.
What to expect
In our view Bologna hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Bologna 5 wins, 2 draws, Monza 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Bologna 12–12, Monza 16–22.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 53%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Bologna: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Monza will be without: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Bologna vs Monza: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.75 | 4.01 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.82 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.41 | 4.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.82 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.95 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 31/10/26, 12:56. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Bologna 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bologna 9th (14 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Bologna 3W 2D 4L (12:12), Monza 2W 1D 6L (16:22).
- H2H: 8 matches: Bologna 5W 2D 1L, goals 13–5.
- Absences: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Bologna vs Monza: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Bologna vs Monza: injuries and missing players
Bologna
- L. De Silvestrimuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. EnemAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Monza
- M. Folorunshoabsence · will miss the match
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bologna
Home and away
Bologna vs Monza: last matches of both teams
Bologna
Monza
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BolognaWWWLWMonzaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Bologna vs Monza?
Over 2.5 goals (1.90); Bologna to win (1.75).
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
Our estimate gives Bologna a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 19%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 31 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Referee: Andrea Zanotti.
Who will be missing?
Bologna: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Monza: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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