Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Torino welcome Monza on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin), and the referee is Andrea Zanotti, Italy. Torino (45%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Torino vs Monza: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Torino lie 10th, having collected 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L); Monza lie 18th, having collected 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Torino average 1.4 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.9 for and 2.1 against for Monza.
- Form in the competition. Torino: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–9; Monza: 2W 1D 4L, goals 13–15.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Torino have taken 5 wins to Monza's 1 win, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 15–8.
What to expect
In our view Torino hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.70), which we give a 57% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Torino 5 wins, 3 draws, Monza 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Torino 10–9, Monza 13–15.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza will be without: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Torino vs Monza: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 3W 1D 3L (10:9), Monza 2W 1D 4L (13:15).
- H2H: 9 matches: Torino 5W 3D 1L, goals 15–8.
- Absences: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Torino vs Monza: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Torino vs Monza: injuries and missing players
Torino
- N. Fortinithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Ilkhanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Israelshoulder injury · will miss the match
- R. Rodriguezthigh injury · will miss the match
Monza
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2-0-9 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1-2-8 | 12:25 | 5 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Torino vs Monza: last matches of both teams
Torino
Monza
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
TorinoLLWWWMonzaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Torino vs Monza?
Over 2.5 goals (1.91); Torino to win (2.16).
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Our estimate gives Torino a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Monza 27%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.91) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.70).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.0%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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