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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: prediction, odds and betting tip – 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

0–1
1Bohemians1.65
XDraw4.11
2Shelbourne5.11

Top price available · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bohemians welcome Shelbourne on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dalymount Park (Dublin), and the referee is R. Harvey. Bohemians (57%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Bohemians -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.85
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Bohemians win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Bohemians win by 1. Loses: a draw, Bohemians lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Chance 65% · confidence high
Combo
Bohemians with over 2.5 goals
2.64
38% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bohemians or draw (1X) at a probability of 81%, with odds of up to 1.19.
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Bohemians vs Shelbourne: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Bohemians lie 2nd, having collected 65 points after 36 matches (19W 8D 9L); Shelbourne lie 4th, having collected 49 points (12W 13D 11L).
  2. Head to head. In 28 previous meetings, Bohemians have taken 10 wins to Shelbourne's 7 wins, plus 11 draws; the goal tally stands at 38–31.

What to expect

In our view Bohemians hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 28; Bohemians 10 wins, 11 draws, Shelbourne 7 wins.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
  4. Unavailable: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, top price 1.70). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Bohemians: no absences. Shelbourne will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.654.115.11
Market average1.623.964.80
Lowest odds1.603.804.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2077.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6756.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1244.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6634.8%
BTTS – yes1.701.6855.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0644.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bohemians 2nd (65 points), Shelbourne 4th (49 points).
  • H2H: 28 matches: Bohemians 10W 11D 7L, goals 38–31.
  • Absences: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians57%
Draw23%
Shelbourne19%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: more betting tips

Bohemians or draw (1X)80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Bohemians to win57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals56.0% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams to score: yes55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams to score: no44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.22
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.27 · best 4.11
Outsider
Shelbourne to win19.3% · fair odds 5.17 · best 5.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.8%

Correct score tips

1 : 110.4%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.4%
3 : 16.3%
3 : 06.0%

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: injuries and missing players

Bohemians

  • No reported absences

Shelbourne

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athletic3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Bohemians

30 OctWSt Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
23 OctLBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWBohemians 2–1 Waterford
12 OctLShamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
2 OctWDundalk 1–2 Bohemians

Shelbourne

30 OctLShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWSt Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
9 OctWShelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Home and away

Bohemians at home18 matches: 8W 6D 4L, goals 29–21
Shelbourne away18 matches: 8W 8D 2L, goals 25–19

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: last matches of both teams

Bohemians

W 30/10/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
W 16/10/26 · Bohemians 2–1 Waterford
L 12/10/26 · Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
W 2/10/26 · Dundalk 1–2 Bohemians

Shelbourne

L 30/10/26 · Shelbourne 2–3 Waterford
W 16/10/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
W 9/10/26 · Shelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers
D 25/9/26 · Galway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Head to head

All matches
10Bohemians
11Draws
7Shelbourne
23/10/26 · Bohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
22/6/26 · Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
4/5/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
16/3/26 · Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians
24/1/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
26/10/25 · Bohemians 2–3 Shelbourne

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Our estimate gives Bohemians a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shelbourne 19%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Dalymount Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Harvey.

Who will be missing?

Bohemians: no absences. Shelbourne: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

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