Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Richmond Park (Dublin), St Patrick's Athletic take on Bohemians, with R. Hennessy in charge. We make St Patrick's Athletic (47%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: St Patrick's Athletic win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: St Patrick's Athletic lose.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. St Patrick's Athletic lie 3rd, having collected 60 points after 36 matches (17W 9D 10L); Bohemians lie 2nd, having collected 65 points (19W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, St Patrick's Athletic average 1.5 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.7 for and 1.2 against for Bohemians.
- Form in the competition. St Patrick's Athletic: 17W 9D 9L, goals 53–28; Bohemians: 18W 8D 9L, goals 60–42.
- Head to head. In 35 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athletic have taken 12 wins to Bohemians's 11 wins, plus 12 draws; the goal tally stands at 46–40.
What to expect
In our view St Patrick's Athletic hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.0%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Bohemians, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 35; St Patrick's Athletic 12 wins, 12 draws, Bohemians 11 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: St Patrick's Athletic 53–28, Bohemians 60–42.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: St Patrick's Athletic 0, Bohemians 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Bohemians will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.02 | 3.58 | 3.87 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.44 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.13 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.86 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.13 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.04 | 45.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: St Patrick's Athletic 1–1 Bohemians, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St Patrick's Athletic 3rd (60 points), Bohemians 2nd (65 points).
- Form in the competition: St Patrick's Athletic 17W 9D 9L (53:28), Bohemians 18W 8D 9L (60:42).
- H2H: 35 matches: St Patrick's Athletic 12W 12D 11L, goals 46–40.
- Absences: St Patrick's Athletic 0, Bohemians 0.
Who will win St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: injuries and missing players
St Patrick's Athletic
- No reported absences
Bohemians
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
St Patrick's Athletic
Home and away
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: last matches of both teams
St Patrick's Athletic
Bohemians
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
St Patrick's AthleticLDLLWBohemiansWLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
St Patrick's Athletic -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
Our estimate gives St Patrick's Athletic a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bohemians 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 30 October 2026 at 19:45, venue Richmond Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Bohemians: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.93) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.0%), then 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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