Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arsenal vs Everton, 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Emirates Stadium (London), with T. Harrington officiating. The odds point to Arsenal (68%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Everton win, a draw. Half wins (half the stake back): Everton lose by 1. Loses: Everton lose by 2 or more.
Arsenal vs Everton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Arsenal lie 1st, having collected 24 points after 9 matches (8W 0D 1L); Everton lie 5th, having collected 16 points (4W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Arsenal average 1.6 goals for and 0.7 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.0 against for Everton.
- Form in the competition. Arsenal: 6W 0D 1L, goals 11–5; Everton: 2W 4D 1L, goals 8–7.
- Head to head. In 35 previous meetings, Arsenal have taken 21 wins to Everton's 7 wins, plus 7 draws; the goal tally stands at 61–29.
What to expect
In our view Arsenal hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (12.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 48%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 35; Arsenal 21 wins, 7 draws, Everton 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Arsenal 11–5, Everton 8–7.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
- Unavailable: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, top price 1.84). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Arsenal: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Arsenal vs Everton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.48 | 5.35 | 9.10 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.83 | 7.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.95 | 2.80 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.98 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:40. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Arsenal 2–0 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arsenal 1st (24 points), Everton 5th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Arsenal 6W 0D 1L (11:5), Everton 2W 4D 1L (8:7).
- H2H: 35 matches: Arsenal 21W 7D 7L, goals 61–29.
- Absences: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Arsenal vs Everton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Arsenal vs Everton: injuries and missing players
Arsenal
- B. Sakathigh injury · will miss the match
- W. Salibaback injury · will miss the match
- C. Tzolishamstring injury · will miss the match
Everton
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Arsenal
Home and away
Arsenal vs Everton: last matches of both teams
Arsenal
Everton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
ArsenalWWWWLEvertonWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Arsenal vs Everton?
Everton +1.25 (Asian handicap) (2.06); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Our estimate gives Arsenal a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Everton 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue Emirates Stadium, London. Referee: T. Harrington.
Who will be missing?
Arsenal: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.84) and under 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 48% (odds 1.98).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (12.1%), then 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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