Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at City Ground (Nottingham), Nottingham Forest take on Arsenal, with M. Oliver in charge. We make Arsenal (58%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Nottingham Forest win, a draw, Nottingham Forest lose by 1. Loses: Nottingham Forest lose by 2 or more.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Nottingham Forest lie 19th, having collected 6 points after 9 matches (1W 3D 5L); Arsenal lie 1st, having collected 24 points (8W 0D 1L).
What to expect
In our view Arsenal hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–1 (12.1%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
- Unavailable: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 51%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.96 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 5.61 | 3.89 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 13:08. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Arsenal 1st (24 points).
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: injuries and missing players
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest
Home and away
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: last matches of both teams
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.56); Over 2.5 goals (1.90).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our estimate gives Nottingham Forest a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal 58%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 16:30, venue City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: M. Oliver.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.86).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 0–1 (12.1%), then 0–2 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.