Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza (Milan), AC Milan take on Ferencvárosi TC, with Urs Schnyder in charge. We make AC Milan (69%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. AC Milan lie 28th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Ferencvárosi TC lie 3rd, having collected 12 points (4W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, AC Milan average 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against, compared with 2.3 for and 0.7 against for Ferencvárosi TC.
- Form in the competition. AC Milan: 1W 0D 2L, goals 4–5; Ferencvárosi TC: 9W 2D 0L, goals 25–8.
What to expect
In our view AC Milan hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.1%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Ferencvárosi TC, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), which we give a 66% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: AC Milan 4–5, Ferencvárosi TC 25–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
- Unavailable: AC Milan 7, Ferencvárosi TC 6.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 56%, top price 1.75). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for AC Milan: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, M. Maignan, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Ferencvárosi TC will be without: E. Botka, B. Nagy, B. Otvos, I. Pappoe, G. Szecsi, F. Kovacevic. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.40 | 5.60 | 8.60 |
| Market average | 1.37 | 5.23 | 7.74 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.66 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.43 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.74 | 34.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.12 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.67 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.11 | 44.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.4%.
The key facts
- Likely result: AC Milan 2–0 Ferencvárosi TC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AC Milan 28th (3 points), Ferencvárosi TC 3rd (12 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Milan 1W 0D 2L (4:5), Ferencvárosi TC 9W 2D 0L (25:8).
- Absences: AC Milan 7, Ferencvárosi TC 6.
Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: injuries and missing players
AC Milan
- W. Bondonot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Loftus-Cheekthigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Maignanred card · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Tomorimuscle injury · will miss the match
Ferencvárosi TC
- E. Botkanot in the squad · will miss the match
- B. Nagynot in the squad · will miss the match
- B. Otvosknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Pappoenot in the squad · will miss the match
- G. Szecsinot in the squad · will miss the match
- F. Kovacevicinjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
AC Milan
Home and away
AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC: last matches of both teams
AC Milan
Ferencvárosi TC
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AC MilanLLWLFerencvárosi TCWWWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
Under 3.5 goals (1.80); AC Milan to win (1.40).
Who will win AC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC?
Our estimate gives AC Milan a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ferencvárosi TC 12%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Referee: Urs Schnyder.
Who will be missing?
AC Milan: W. Bondo, S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, R. Loftus-Cheek, M. Maignan, A. Saelemaekers, F. Tomori. Ferencvárosi TC: E. Botka, B. Nagy, B. Otvos, I. Pappoe, G. Szecsi, F. Kovacevic. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.47) and under 2.5 goals at 34% (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.75).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (10.1%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.4%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.