Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
York welcome Port Vale on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at York Community Stadium (York), and the referee is D. Webb. York (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Port Vale win, a draw. Loses: Port Vale lose.
York vs Port Vale: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. York lie 7th, having collected 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L); Port Vale lie 19th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, York have taken 1 win to Port Vale's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 4–4.
What to expect
In our view York hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.0%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 3; York 1 win, 1 draw, Port Vale 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.7 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for York: no absences. Port Vale will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
York vs Port Vale: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.83 |
| Market average | 1.99 | 3.48 | 3.62 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.07 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 24/10/26, 13:59. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: York 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: York 7th (20 points), Port Vale 19th (15 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: York 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
- Absences: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
York vs Port Vale: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
York vs Port Vale: injuries and missing players
York
- No reported absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
York
Home and away
York vs Port Vale: last matches of both teams
York
Port Vale
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for York vs Port Vale?
Port Vale +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
Our estimate gives York a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Port Vale 26%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 24 October 2026 at 15:00, venue York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Webb.
Who will be missing?
York: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.0%), then 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.