Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Gillingham welcome Port Vale on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham). We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Port Vale win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Port Vale lose.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Gillingham lie 8th, having collected 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L); Port Vale lie 19th, having collected 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the Gillingham, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), which we give a 56% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 44%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
- Unavailable: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Gillingham: no absences. Port Vale will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.29 |
| Market average | 3.27 | 3.21 | 2.17 |
| Lowest odds | 3.01 | 3.04 | 2.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 68.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.67 | 56.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.84 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.85 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.85 | 49.9% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Port Vale 19th (15 points).
- Absences: Gillingham 0, Port Vale 0.
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Gillingham vs Port Vale: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Gillingham vs Port Vale: injuries and missing players
Gillingham
- No reported absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Gillingham
Home and away
Gillingham vs Port Vale: last matches of both teams
Gillingham
Port Vale
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Port Vale -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?
Our estimate gives Gillingham a 28% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Port Vale 43%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 20 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham.
Who will be missing?
Gillingham: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.20) and under 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.9%), then 0–1 (12.2%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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