Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet welcome York on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London), and the referee is B. Toner. Barnet (46%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Barnet win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Barnet lose.
Barnet vs York: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Barnet lie 2nd, having collected 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L); York lie 7th, having collected 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Barnet average 2.2 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.8 for and 1.1 against for York.
- Form in the competition. Barnet: 6W 4D 1L, goals 24–16; York: 5W 5D 2L, goals 21–13.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Barnet have taken 6 wins to York's 4 wins, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 20–19.
What to expect
In our view Barnet hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Barnet 6 wins, 1 draw, York 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.5 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Barnet 24–16, York 21–13.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Barnet 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Barnet: no absences. York will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Barnet vs York: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.13 | 3.86 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.72 | 3.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.47 | 2.99 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.25 | 41.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Barnet 1–1 York, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Barnet 6W 4D 1L (24:16), York 5W 5D 2L (21:13).
- H2H: 11 matches: Barnet 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–19.
- Absences: Barnet 0, York 0.
Who will win Barnet vs York?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Barnet vs York: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Barnet vs York: injuries and missing players
Barnet
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Barnet
Home and away
Barnet vs York: last matches of both teams
Barnet
York
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
BarnetDWDLWYorkLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Barnet vs York?
Barnet -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Barnet vs York?
Our estimate gives Barnet a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and York 29%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 27 October 2026 at 19:45, venue The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Toner.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. York: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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