Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 3 November 2026 · 20:00 at The Hawthorns (West Bromwich), West Brom take on Southampton, with Josh Smith in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: West Brom win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: West Brom lose.
West Brom vs Southampton: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. West Brom lie 6th, having collected 25 points after 14 matches (7W 4D 3L); Southampton lie 7th, having collected 24 points (8W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, West Brom average 1.5 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 2.2 for and 1.0 against for Southampton.
- Form in the competition. West Brom: 7W 3D 3L, goals 19–14; Southampton: 8W 3D 2L, goals 28–13.
- Head to head. In 22 previous meetings, West Brom have taken 5 wins to Southampton's 12 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 20–27.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.4%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.73), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 22; West Brom 5 wins, 5 draws, Southampton 12 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: West Brom 19–14, Southampton 28–13.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
- Unavailable: West Brom 3, Southampton 3.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 50%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Southampton will be without: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, C. Jander, C. Larin. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
West Brom vs Southampton: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.44 | 3.45 | 3.06 |
| Market average | 2.37 | 3.32 | 2.92 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.14 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.27 | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.91 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.18 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.08 | 44.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 3/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: West Brom 1–1 Southampton, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: West Brom 6th (25 points), Southampton 7th (24 points).
- Form in the competition: West Brom 7W 3D 3L (19:14), Southampton 8W 3D 2L (28:13).
- H2H: 22 matches: West Brom 5W 5D 12L, goals 20–27.
- Absences: West Brom 3, Southampton 3.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
West Brom vs Southampton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
West Brom vs Southampton: injuries and missing players
West Brom
- T. Collyerinjury · will miss the match
- N. Galvesknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Johnstonbroken leg · will miss the match
Southampton
- M. Roerslev Rasmussennot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Jandernot in the squad · doubtful
- C. Larinhamstring injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8-4-2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Wolves | 14 | 8-3-3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 14 | 7-5-2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8-2-4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 |  Swansea | 14 | 8-2-4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7-4-3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8-4-2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 14 | 6-5-3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6-4-4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6-4-4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5-6-3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 14 | 6-0-8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5-3-6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5-3-6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5-3-6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4-5-5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton | 15 | 5-2-8 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 14 | 3-6-5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 14 | 4-3-7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4-2-8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton | 14 | 3-5-6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1-7-6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2-4-9 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 14 | 1-2-11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Recent matches
West Brom
Home and away
West Brom vs Southampton: last matches of both teams
West Brom
Southampton
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
West BromDWDWWSouthamptonDWWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
Our estimate gives West Brom a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Southampton 32%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 3 November 2026 at 20:00, venue The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Referee: Josh Smith.
Who will be missing?
West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves, M. Johnston. Southampton: M. Roerslev Rasmussen, C. Jander, C. Larin. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 2.00) and under 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.93).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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