Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Twente vs Willem II (Eredivisie, 22 November 2026, 11:15): Over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.50. Second tip: Twente to win at odds of 1.07. The bookmakers' odds give Twente 90%, the draw 7% and Willem II 3%. The most likely score is 3–0.
Twente vs Willem II: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Twente lie 4th, having collected 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L); Willem II lie 18th, having collected 3 points (0W 3D 9L).
What to expect
In our view Twente hold the advantage. We project a 4–1 scoreline, around 5 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 3–0 (11.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
With the result at a short price (1.07), the goals markets are also worth considering: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 45%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 81%.
The prediction at a glance
- Our projection is around 5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 81%.
- Unavailable: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 55%, top price 1.70). A projection of around 5 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Twente: no absences. Willem II will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Twente vs Willem II: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.07 | 19.50 | 46.00 |
| Market average | 1.05 | 14.56 | 34.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.03 | 11.75 | 26.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.06 | 1.04 | 91.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 5.00 | 4.79 | 19.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.07 | 44.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.2% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:03. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Twente 3–0 Willem II, roughly 5 goals in total.
- Table: Twente 4th (23 points), Willem II 18th (3 points).
- Absences: Twente 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Twente vs Willem II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Correct score tips
Twente vs Willem II: injuries and missing players
Twente
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3-3-6 | 13:24 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0-3-9 | 11:40 | 3 |
Recent matches
Twente
Home and away
Twente vs Willem II: last matches of both teams
Twente
Willem II
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Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Twente vs Willem II?
Over 3.5 goals (1.50); Twente to win (1.07).
Who will win Twente vs Willem II?
Our estimate gives Twente a 90% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Willem II 3%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 11:15, venue De Grolsch Veste, Enschede.
Who will be missing?
Twente: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 81% (odds 1.20) and under 2.5 goals at 19% (odds 5.00).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 45% (odds 2.10).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 3–0 (11.5%), then 4–0 (10.6%) and 2–0 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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