Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Start welcome Lillestrøm on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sør Arena (Kristiansand), and the referee is Ola Hobber Nilsen. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Start win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Start lose.
Start vs Lillestrøm: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Start lie 16th, having collected 19 points after 25 matches (5W 4D 16L); Lillestrøm lie 5th, having collected 42 points (13W 3D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Start average 1.1 goals for and 2.3 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.4 against for Lillestrøm.
- Form in the competition. Start: 5W 4D 15L, goals 26–54; Lillestrøm: 12W 3D 9L, goals 35–33.
- Head to head. In 8 previous meetings, Start have taken 1 win to Lillestrøm's 5 wins, plus 2 draws; the goal tally stands at 6–13.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.50), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 64%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 8; Start 1 win, 2 draws, Lillestrøm 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.4 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Start 26–54, Lillestrøm 35–33.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.55). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm will be without: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Start vs Lillestrøm: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.98 | 3.78 | 2.35 |
| Market average | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.57 | 3.42 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.56 | 2.44 | 38.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.29 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.70 | 2.59 | 35.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:07. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Start 1–1 Lillestrøm, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Start 16th (19 points), Lillestrøm 5th (42 points).
- Form in the competition: Start 5W 4D 15L (26:54), Lillestrøm 12W 3D 9L (35:33).
- H2H: 8 matches: Start 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–13.
- Absences: Start 4, Lillestrøm 3.
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Start vs Lillestrøm: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Start vs Lillestrøm: injuries and missing players
Start
- J. Husebofoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Manojlovicabsence · will miss the match
- K. Tonnesenabsence · will miss the match
- S. Griesbeckinjury · doubtful
Lillestrøm
- C. Jebaragroin injury · will miss the match
- P. Dahlberginjury · doubtful
- E. B. Garnasknee injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Start
Home and away
Start vs Lillestrøm: last matches of both teams
Start
Lillestrøm
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
StartLWLLLLillestrømWWWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Start vs Lillestrøm?
Start +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Start vs Lillestrøm?
Our estimate gives Start a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lillestrøm 41%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 16:00, venue Sør Arena, Kristiansand. Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen.
Who will be missing?
Start: J. Husebo, F. Manojlovic, K. Tonnesen, S. Griesbeck. Lillestrøm: C. Jebara, P. Dahlberg, E. B. Garnas. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.56).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 2–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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