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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 13:00

Sabadell vs Tenerife: prediction, odds and betting tip – 25 October 2026, Segunda División

1–1
1Sabadell2.02
XDraw3.34
2Tenerife4.79

Top price available · Updated 25/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell), Sabadell take on Tenerife, with S. Ais in charge. We make Sabadell (49%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Main tip · Goals
Over 1.5 goals
1.60
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Second tip · Result
Sabadell to win
2.02
Chance 49% · confidence low
1–0likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sabadell or draw (1X) at a probability of 79%, with odds of up to 1.24.
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Sabadell vs Tenerife: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Sabadell lie 10th, having collected 17 points after 12 matches (4W 5D 3L); Tenerife lie 14th, having collected 15 points (3W 6D 3L).
  2. Head to head. In 3 previous meetings, Sabadell have taken 1 win to Tenerife's 1 win, plus 1 draw; the goal tally stands at 3–4.

What to expect

In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (15.7%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.56), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 42%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 36%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Meetings: 3; Sabadell 1 win, 1 draw, Tenerife 1 win.
  2. Head to head meetings have produced 2.3 goals a game on average.
  3. Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 36%.
  4. Unavailable: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals

Another angle: Over 1.5 goals (probability 62%, top price 1.60). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Sabadell: no absences. Tenerife will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available2.023.344.79
Market average1.923.114.40
Lowest odds1.852.904.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.601.5162.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.802.6036.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.561.4863.6%
Over 3.5 goals5.685.2218.0%
BTTS – yes2.272.2042.2%
BTTS – no1.651.6157.8%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Sabadell 1–0 Tenerife, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Sabadell 10th (17 points), Tenerife 14th (15 points).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Sabadell 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
  • Absences: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Sabadell49%
Draw30%
Tenerife21%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.16
Likely
Sabadell or draw (1X)78.7% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 2.5 goals63.6% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.56
Likely
Over 1.5 goals62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.60
Likely
Both teams to score: no57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Sabadell to win48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both teams to score: yes42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals36.4% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.34
Outsider
Tenerife to win21.3% · fair odds 4.70 · best 4.79
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.68
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.65 · Under 2.16
probability of over 56.7%

Correct score tips

1 : 015.7%
1 : 112.6%
0 : 011.6%
2 : 010.6%
0 : 19.3%
2 : 18.5%

Sabadell vs Tenerife: injuries and missing players

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

Tenerife

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife123-6-315:1715
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18FC Andorra123-2-717:2211
19Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
20Cádiz122-4-615:1610
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Tenerife

2 NovDTenerife 2–2 FC Andorra
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
12 OctDTenerife 1–1 Girona
5 OctLCórdoba 3–2 Tenerife

Home and away

Sabadell at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 8–4
Tenerife away6 matches: 1W 3D 2L, goals 8–12

Sabadell vs Tenerife: last matches of both teams

Sabadell

L 31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
L 18/10/26 · Burgos 1–0 Sabadell
W 10/10/26 · AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
D 4/10/26 · Sabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Tenerife

D 2/11/26 · Tenerife 2–2 FC Andorra
D 19/10/26 · Celta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
D 12/10/26 · Tenerife 1–1 Girona
L 5/10/26 · Córdoba 3–2 Tenerife

Head to head

All matches
1Sabadell
1Draws
1Tenerife
25/10/26 · Sabadell 1–1 Tenerife
16/5/21 · Sabadell 0–2 Tenerife
3/12/20 · Tenerife 1–2 Sabadell

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Over 1.5 goals (1.60); Sabadell to win (2.02).

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Our estimate gives Sabadell a 49% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Tenerife 21%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 13:00, venue Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. Referee: S. Ais.

Who will be missing?

Sabadell: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.80) and under 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.56).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 42% (odds 2.27).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–0 (15.7%), then 1–1 (12.6%) and 0–0 (11.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 NovGirona vs Almería 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.