Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Cádiz vs Oviedo (Segunda División, 7 November 2026, 15:15): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.91. Second tip: Draw or Oviedo (X2) at odds of 1.45. The bookmakers' odds give Cádiz 34%, the draw 29% and Oviedo 38%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Cádiz vs Oviedo preview and prediction
Cádiz host Oviedo in Matchweek 13 of the Segunda División on 7 November 2026, with the kick-off at 15:15 at the JP Financial Estadio. Our tip is Cádiz or draw (1X) at odds 1.91, a price the bookmakers put at a 51% chance. The table favours Oviedo, who sit ninth with 18 points while Cádiz are 19th with 10, but we would rather back the home side to avoid defeat than chase a win for either team.
The key facts
- Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 Oviedo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cádiz 20th (10 points), Oviedo 9th (18 points).
- Form in the competition: Cádiz 2W 4D 6L (15:16), Oviedo 5W 3D 4L (17:15).
- H2H: 10 matches: Cádiz 4W 1D 5L, goals 12–11.
- Absences: Cádiz 0, Oviedo 0.
Cádiz's home record against a shaky run
In this competition Cádiz have 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. The home numbers are the ones we trust more: 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats at the JP Financial, with 9 scored and 6 conceded. That is not a fortress, but it is a ground where they have not been picked apart.
Their form across all competitions is less encouraging. In the last five matches they won 2 and lost 3, scoring 8 and conceding 6. The latest result was a 2-1 defeat at Mallorca on 2/11/26, and before that came a 3-1 home win over AD Ceuta FC on 25/10/26. The 4-0 win over Leganés on 3/10/26 shows what the attack can do on a good day. Cádiz also went without scoring in two of those five games, and that is the figure that makes us hesitant about backing them to win outright.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cádiz
Home and away
Cádiz vs Oviedo: last matches of both teams
Cádiz
Oviedo
Oviedo on the road, scoring freely but conceding plenty
Oviedo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats in this competition, with 17 scored and 15 conceded. Their 1.4 goals per match is a shade better than Cádiz's 1.3. Away from home they have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2, scoring 10 and conceding 10.
Across all competitions their last five produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded. Both sides scored in all five of those matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in all five as well. Oviedo kept no clean sheet in that run. The latest was a 2-3 home defeat to Las Palmas on 2/11/26, following a 2-2 draw away at Almería on 24/10/26. Oviedo will score, but they have not stopped anyone scoring against them, and that is the main reason we would not back them to win.
Who will win Cádiz vs Oviedo?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Head to head
All matchesTen meetings that lean towards Oviedo
In the last ten head-to-head meetings Oviedo have won 5, Cádiz have won 4 and one game was drawn. Cádiz have scored 12 goals and Oviedo 11. The most recent meeting ended Oviedo 2-1 Cádiz on 1/6/25, while Cádiz had beaten them 2-0 at home on 26/10/24, and also 2-0 on 4/7/20. Oviedo have the edge, but it is a narrow one, and we do not think it should decide the match.
No absences have been reported for either side.
Cádiz vs Oviedo: injuries and missing players
Cádiz
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
CádizLWLLWOviedoLDWWLPricing the 1X and the Under 2.5
The market gives Cádiz a 34% chance at best odds of 2.80, the draw 30% at 3.22 and Oviedo 36% at 2.71. The match-result margin is 7.6%, so these figures show only what the bookmakers expect. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 13.2%, 0-1 at 11.4% and 1-0 at 11.0%, with expected goals of about 1 for each side.
Our tip, Cádiz or draw (1X) at odds 1.91 (chance 51%), wins on 1-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 2-1, and loses on 0-1 and 1-2. In other words, it only goes down if Oviedo take the lead and keep it. We would not back Cádiz to win at 2.80 on this evidence, but covering a defeat at 1.91 is a far easier case to make.
Our second tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.45 (chance 66%). The expected total is about 2 goals, and the market rates the under at 66% at best odds of 1.45. It wins on 1-1, 0-1, 1-0 and 0-0, and loses on 1-2 and 2-1. Both teams have been scoring in recent weeks, so the 2.5 line deserves respect, but the expected total sits beneath it, and that is why we are comfortable with it.
Cádiz vs Oviedo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Side bets that sit alongside the tips
Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25 (chance 77%) is the price we would take if we wanted a safer ticket. The market expects three goals or fewer, which matches the expected total of about 2. The price is short, so we would keep the stake small.
Cádiz +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.53 (chance 51%) pays out unless Cádiz lose by one goal or more. It fits our main tip well, because a draw keeps it alive, and only a Cádiz defeat by any margin takes it out. For a little more reward, Cádiz +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.64 (chance 58%) splits the stake between Cádiz +0 and Cádiz +0.5. On the +0 half a Cádiz win pays, a draw returns the stake and a defeat loses it, while the +0.5 half wins unless Cádiz lose by one goal or more.
Oviedo have the scoring habit, and the price on the 1X gives us a sensible way to back the home side without asking them to beat a team that scores as often as Oviedo do.
Cádiz vs Oviedo: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.92 | 3.41 | 2.57 |
| Market average | 2.77 | 3.26 | 2.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.29 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 1.95 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.38 | 27.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.72 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.01 | 46.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.2%.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Cádiz vs Oviedo?
Under 2.5 goals (1.91); Draw or Oviedo (X2) (1.45).
Who will win Cádiz vs Oviedo?
Our estimate gives Cádiz a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Oviedo 38%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 15:15, venue Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz. Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza.
Who will be missing?
Cádiz: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.10) and under 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 0–1 (10.0%) and 1–0 (9.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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