Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oviedo welcome Las Palmas on 2 November 2026 · 15:15 at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo), and the referee is Morilla Turrion, Alejandro. Oviedo (56%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Oviedo lie 9th, having collected 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L); Las Palmas lie 11th, having collected 17 points (5W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Oviedo average 1.4 goals for and 1.1 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.7 against for Las Palmas.
- Form in the competition. Oviedo: 5W 3D 3L, goals 15–12; Las Palmas: 4W 2D 5L, goals 14–19.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Oviedo have taken 3 wins to Las Palmas's 3 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–12.
What to expect
In our view Oviedo hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.8%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.85), which we give a 52% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Oviedo 3 wins, 5 draws, Las Palmas 3 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.1 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Oviedo 15–12, Las Palmas 14–19.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
- Unavailable: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.95). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Oviedo: no absences. Las Palmas will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.72 | 4.03 | 5.07 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.83 | 4.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.12 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.79 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.98 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 12:53. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Oviedo 1–0 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oviedo 9th (18 points), Las Palmas 11th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Oviedo 5W 3D 3L (15:12), Las Palmas 4W 2D 5L (14:19).
- H2H: 11 matches: Oviedo 3W 5D 3L, goals 11–12.
- Absences: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: injuries and missing players
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Oviedo
Home and away
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: last matches of both teams
Oviedo
Las Palmas
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
OviedoLDWWLLas PalmasWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Over 2.5 goals (1.95); Oviedo to win (1.72).
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Our estimate gives Oviedo a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Palmas 20%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 15:15, venue Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. Referee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro.
Who will be missing?
Oviedo: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.95) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.85).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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