Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mallorca vs Cádiz, 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Parma), with Gonzalo Romero Freixas officiating. The odds point to Mallorca (64%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Mallorca win by 2 or more. Stake back: Mallorca win by 1. Loses: a draw, Mallorca lose.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Mallorca lie 5th, having collected 22 points after 12 matches (6W 4D 2L); Cádiz lie 20th, having collected 10 points (2W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Mallorca average 1.2 goals for and 0.5 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.3 against for Cádiz.
- Form in the competition. Mallorca: 5W 4D 2L, goals 13–6; Cádiz: 2W 4D 5L, goals 14–14.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Mallorca have taken 4 wins to Cádiz's 1 win, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 11–9.
What to expect
In our view Mallorca hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Mallorca 4 wins, 6 draws, Cádiz 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Mallorca 13–6, Cádiz 14–14.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
- Unavailable: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Mallorca: no absences. Cádiz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.50 | 4.50 | 7.24 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.27 | 6.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.17 | 3.00 | 31.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.89 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 2/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mallorca 5th (22 points), Cádiz 20th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Mallorca 5W 4D 2L (13:6), Cádiz 2W 4D 5L (14:14).
- H2H: 11 matches: Mallorca 4W 6D 1L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Mallorca vs Cádiz: injuries and missing players
Mallorca
- No reported absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 12 | 3-6-3 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  FC Andorra | 12 | 3-2-7 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 20 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Mallorca
Home and away
Mallorca vs Cádiz: last matches of both teams
Mallorca
Cádiz
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MallorcaWDDWDCádizLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Mallorca -1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Our estimate gives Mallorca a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cádiz 14%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 2 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas.
Who will be missing?
Mallorca: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.5%), then 2–0 (12.2%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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