Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rio Ave welcome Famalicão on 25 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio dos Arcos (Vila do Conde), and the referee is H. Carvalho. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Famalicão win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Famalicão lose.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Rio Ave lie 16th, having collected 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L); Famalicão lie 10th, having collected 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Rio Ave average 1.0 goals for and 2.1 against, compared with 1.3 for and 1.4 against for Famalicão.
- Form in the competition. Rio Ave: 2W 1D 5L, goals 8–17; Famalicão: 1W 4D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. In 14 previous meetings, Rio Ave have taken 1 win to Famalicão's 5 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 10–17.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 53%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 48%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 14; Rio Ave 1 win, 8 draws, Famalicão 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Rio Ave 8–17, Famalicão 10–11.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
- Unavailable: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Another angle: Under 2.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.90). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Rio Ave: no absences. Famalicão will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.66 | 3.46 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.83 | 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicão, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rio Ave 16th (7 points), Famalicão 10th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Rio Ave 2W 1D 5L (8:17), Famalicão 1W 4D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 14 matches: Rio Ave 1W 8D 5L, goals 10–17.
- Absences: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: injuries and missing players
Rio Ave
- No reported absences
Famalicão
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6-2-3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 11 | 3-4-4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rio Ave
Home and away
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: last matches of both teams
Rio Ave
Famalicão
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Rio AveLLWLDFamalicãoWLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Famalicão -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Our estimate gives Rio Ave a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Famalicão 45%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 18:00, venue Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde. Referee: H. Carvalho.
Who will be missing?
Rio Ave: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05) and under 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–2 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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