QPR vs Lincoln: prediction, odds and betting tip – 7 November 2026, Championship

QPR vs Lincoln preview and prediction

Loftus Road plays host to Lincoln on 7 November 2026, when QPR and their visitors meet in Matchweek 15 of the Championship; the whistle sounds at 15:00. Odds-makers rate the hosts as the most probable victors at 52%, while a draw sits at 25% and a Lincoln triumph at 23%. Modelled goal output points to around 2 for QPR and 1 for Lincoln, so roughly three goals overall, and the scorelines considered most likely are 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1. The hosts hold the advantage here, though it is not the kind of margin the market anticipates a rout from.

QPR at Loftus Road, ninth in the table

In this competition QPR have collected 20 points from 13 matches, with 5 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats, and a goal record of 21:16. Their home numbers stand out most: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 13 scored and only 5 conceded in front of their own crowd. That is a side that rarely gives points away at home in this table.

QPR's recent form across all competitions is harder to read. In their last five outings they picked up 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, netting 11 goals while letting in 9. The 5-0 victory against Swansea and the 4-1 success over Derby stand out as the performances we find most convincing, yet the 4-1 loss at Southampton shows how exposed they can look when playing away from home. Standings in this tournament only reflect results here.

Lincoln on the road and a leaky back line

Lincoln sit 16th with 15 points from 13 matches in this competition, recording 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. They have found the net 14 times and let in 23, which works out to 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. On the road the form is stronger: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded.

Recent form makes for uncomfortable reading. Across their previous five outings in every competition, Lincoln collected just one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Each of those five games produced more than 2.5 goals, and the worst moments were a 0-6 thrashing at home by West Ham and a 1-3 reverse at home to Birmingham. The lone highlight was a 4-1 home success against Burnley. We would not write off the visitors, but there is little evidence they can be relied upon to keep a clean sheet.

There is no head-to-head history and nothing reported on injuries

There is no prior league or cup meeting between these clubs on record, so no head-to-head trend can guide the read. No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side, so both are being assessed on their current listed strength. The bookmakers' overround on the 1X2 market sits at 7.0%, a useful reminder that the favourite's odds also include a built-in margin.

Our QPR vs Lincoln betting tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50 (65% chance). The market also rates it at 65% with best odds of 1.50, and that is the case we are putting forward. Over 3.5 sits at just 35%, which suggests the bookmakers do not anticipate a high-scoring match. With the price this short and little margin on offer, this is a selection to back with a measured stake rather than a large one.

Which way the main tip plays out across the most probable scorelines (home-away): a 1-1 draw wins; 1-0 wins; 2-1 wins; 2-0 wins; 0-1 wins; 1-2 wins.

Our second tip: QPR to win

We're backing QPR to win at 1.83, with our estimated chance at 52%. Lincoln have taken just one win from their last five games in all competitions. In this league, QPR sit ninth with 20 points, while Lincoln are 16th with 15. Our confidence rests mainly on QPR's home form: three wins, two draws and one defeat. The bookmakers price them at 52% with the best odds at 1.83, and we see that as an accurate reading of the fixture. This isn't a value pick, but we prefer the home team to the away side.

Here is how the second tip plays out across the most probable final scores (home-away): a 1-1 draw loses; 1-0 wins; 2-1 wins; 2-0 wins; 0-1 loses; 1-2 loses.

Alternative markets worth a look

• Over 1.5 goals at 1.23 (chance 77%). This has the lowest odds on the card and pairs nicely with our top pick, because a 2-1 or 1-2 result wins both bets.
• QPR or draw (1X) at 1.25 (chance 77%). This is the safer route on the home team, and it still returns money should the game finish all square. It also complements our second tip.
• QPR +0.5 (Asian handicap) at 1.24 (chance 76%). QPR only lose this bet if they are beaten by a margin of one goal or more, so a draw still pays out.
• Lincoln +1.75 (Asian handicap) at 1.25 (chance 76%). The stake is split evenly between Lincoln +1.5 and Lincoln +2, providing the away side with extra protection considering how frequently they have let in goals of late.

QPR should get the upper hand here, though it probably won't be an easy ride. Our top pick is the selection we have the most confidence in, while the second pick is the one we'd only play with a lighter stake. Other options are available if you'd like your slip to look different.