Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for PAU vs Nantes (Ligue 2, 7 November 2026, 19:00): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.82. Second tip: Draw or Nantes (X2) at odds of 1.40. The bookmakers' odds give PAU 31%, the draw 30% and Nantes 39%. The most likely score is 1–1.
PAU vs Nantes: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. PAU lie 5th, having collected 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L); Nantes lie 16th, having collected 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, PAU average 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.1 for and 1.6 against for Nantes.
- Form in the competition. PAU: 6W 2D 3L, goals 16–11; Nantes: 2W 3D 6L, goals 12–18.
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, PAU have taken 0 wins to Nantes's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 1–4.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the PAU, but the bookmakers make the away side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.82), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; PAU 0 wins, 0 draws, Nantes 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 5.0 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: PAU 16–11, Nantes 12–18.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: PAU 0, Nantes 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for PAU: no absences. Nantes will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
PAU vs Nantes: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.48 |
| Market average | 2.96 | 3.14 | 2.38 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 2.90 | 2.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.07 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.74 | 54.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.64 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.79 | 52.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 48.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 06:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.9%.
The key facts
- Likely result: PAU 1–1 Nantes, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: PAU 5th (20 points), Nantes 16th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: PAU 6W 2D 3L (16:11), Nantes 2W 3D 6L (12:18).
- H2H: 1 match: PAU 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–4.
- Absences: PAU 0, Nantes 0.
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
PAU vs Nantes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
PAU vs Nantes: injuries and missing players
PAU
- No reported absences
Nantes
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
PAU
Home and away
PAU vs Nantes: last matches of both teams
PAU
Nantes
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PAUWWWWWNantesDLLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for PAU vs Nantes?
Under 2.5 goals (1.82); Draw or Nantes (X2) (1.40).
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
Our estimate gives PAU a 31% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Nantes 39%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 7 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Nouste Camp, Pau. Referee: Antoine Valnet.
Who will be missing?
PAU: no absences. Nantes: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.24) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.82).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.87).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.9%), then 0–1 (11.2%) and 1–0 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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