Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PAU vs Grenoble, 23 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nouste Camp (Pau), with Gabriel Henry, France officiating. The odds point to PAU (50%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: PAU win. Loses: a draw, PAU lose.
PAU vs Grenoble: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. PAU lie 5th, having collected 20 points after 11 matches (6W 2D 3L); Grenoble lie 15th, having collected 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, PAU have taken 5 wins to Grenoble's 4 wins, plus 8 draws; the goal tally stands at 18–20.
What to expect
In our view PAU hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (12.9%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 46%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; PAU 5 wins, 8 draws, Grenoble 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.2 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
- Unavailable: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no
Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.86). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for PAU: no absences. Grenoble will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
PAU vs Grenoble: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.38 | 4.16 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.33 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.06 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.68 | 25.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.5% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 23/10/26, 17:15. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.
The key facts
- Likely result: PAU 1–0 Grenoble, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: PAU 5th (20 points), Grenoble 15th (11 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: PAU 5W 8D 4L, goals 18–20.
- Absences: PAU 0, Grenoble 0.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
PAU vs Grenoble: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
PAU vs Grenoble: injuries and missing players
PAU
- No reported absences
Grenoble
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 | PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
PAU
Home and away
PAU vs Grenoble: last matches of both teams
PAU
Grenoble
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for PAU vs Grenoble?
PAU -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
Our estimate gives PAU a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Grenoble 22%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 23 October 2026 at 19:00, venue Nouste Camp, Pau. Referee: Gabriel Henry, France.
Who will be missing?
PAU: no absences. Grenoble: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.16) and under 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–0 (12.9%), then 1–1 (12.3%) and 2–0 (9.7%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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