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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 14:00

Pardubice vs Zlín: prediction, odds and betting tip – 17 October 2026, Chance Liga

3–0
DDLLD
1Pardubice1.65
XDraw4.56
2Zlín6.71

Top price available · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Pardubice welcome Zlín on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Letní Stadion (Pardubice), and the referee is Lukáš Nehasil. Pardubice (62%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Pardubice vs Zlín: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Pardubice -1 (Asian handicap)
2.20
Chance 51% · confidence medium

Wins: Pardubice win by 2 or more. Stake back: Pardubice win by 1. Loses: a draw, Pardubice lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Chance 53% · confidence medium
Combo
Pardubice with over 2.5 goals
2.52
40% · combo fair odds
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Pardubice or draw (1X) at a probability of 85%, with odds of up to 1.18.
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Pardubice vs Zlín: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Pardubice lie 12th, having collected 14 points after 13 matches (4W 2D 7L); Zlín lie 16th, having collected 3 points (0W 3D 10L).

What to expect

In our view Pardubice hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–0 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), which we give a 53% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 49%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
  2. Unavailable: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams to score: no

Another angle: Both teams to score: no (probability 51%, top price 1.85). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Pardubice: no absences. Zlín will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Pardubice vs Zlín: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.654.566.71
Market average1.484.186.11
Lowest odds1.443.604.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2275.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7752.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9947.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8932.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 17/10/26, 12:01. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.3%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Pardubice 1–0 Zlín, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Pardubice 12th (14 points), Zlín 16th (3 points).
  • Absences: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice62%
Draw22%
Zlín15%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Pardubice vs Zlín: more betting tips

Pardubice or draw (1X)84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Pardubice to win62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.65
Likely
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams to score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams to score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw22.2% · fair odds 4.51 · best 4.56
Outsider
Zlín to win15.3% · fair odds 6.53 · best 6.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.98
probability of over 52.7%

Correct score tips

1 : 011.9%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
3 : 07.5%
3 : 16.4%

Pardubice vs Zlín: injuries and missing players

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Zlín

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Bohemians 1905135-5-315:1420
9Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
10Plzeň135-4-428:2119
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis132-4-714:2410
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Zlín

31 OctDArtis 2–2 Zlín
24 OctDZlín 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
17 OctLPardubice 3–0 Zlín
9 OctLZlín 0–1 Slavia Praha
20 SeptDFK Jablonec 1–1 Zlín

Home and away

Pardubice at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–8
Zlín away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 8–15

Pardubice vs Zlín: last matches of both teams

Pardubice

L 31/10/26 · Pardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
W 25/10/26 · Plzeň 1–2 Pardubice
L 11/10/26 · Sparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
W 19/9/26 · Pardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Zlín

D 31/10/26 · Artis 2–2 Zlín
D 24/10/26 · Zlín 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
L 9/10/26 · Zlín 0–1 Slavia Praha
D 20/9/26 · FK Jablonec 1–1 Zlín

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice -1 (Asian handicap) (2.20); Over 2.5 goals (1.80).

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Our estimate gives Pardubice a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zlín 15%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 17 October 2026 at 14:00, venue Letní Stadion, Pardubice. Referee: Lukáš Nehasil.

Who will be missing?

Pardubice: no absences. Zlín: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.80) and under 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 49% (odds 1.95).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–0 (11.9%), then 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (10.1%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Zlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 NovTeplice vs Pardubice 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.