Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Montpellier vs Metz, 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier), with Eddy Rosier officiating. The odds point to Montpellier (51%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Montpellier win. Loses: a draw, Montpellier lose.
Montpellier vs Metz: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Montpellier lie 3rd, having collected 24 points after 12 matches (7W 3D 2L); Metz lie 7th, having collected 17 points (4W 5D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Montpellier average 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.5 against for Metz.
- Form in the competition. Montpellier: 7W 3D 1L, goals 16–6; Metz: 3W 5D 3L, goals 17–17.
- Head to head. In 17 previous meetings, Montpellier have taken 7 wins to Metz's 5 wins, plus 5 draws; the goal tally stands at 25–19.
What to expect
In our view Montpellier hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.8%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 59%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 17; Montpellier 7 wins, 5 draws, Metz 5 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.6 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Montpellier 16–6, Metz 17–17.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
- Unavailable: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.62). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Montpellier: no absences. Metz will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Montpellier vs Metz: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.87 | 3.92 | 4.03 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.68 | 3.87 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.38 | 3.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.61 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.34 | 2.27 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Montpellier 1–1 Metz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montpellier 3rd (24 points), Metz 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Montpellier 7W 3D 1L (16:6), Metz 3W 5D 3L (17:17).
- H2H: 17 matches: Montpellier 7W 5D 5L, goals 25–19.
- Absences: Montpellier 0, Metz 0.
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Montpellier vs Metz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Montpellier vs Metz: injuries and missing players
Montpellier
- No reported absences
Metz
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Montpellier
Home and away
Montpellier vs Metz: last matches of both teams
Montpellier
Metz
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
MontpellierLWWWWMetzWLDWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Montpellier vs Metz?
Montpellier -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
Our estimate gives Montpellier a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Metz 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Who will be missing?
Montpellier: no absences. Metz: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.65) and under 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.34).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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