Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht, 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku (Białystok), with Ondřej Berka officiating. Expect a tight contest. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Anderlecht win. Stake back: a draw. Loses: Anderlecht lose.
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Jagiellonia lie 29th, having collected 3 points after 4 matches (1W 0D 3L); Anderlecht lie 15th, having collected 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. In 1 previous meetings, Jagiellonia have taken 0 wins to Anderlecht's 1 win, plus 0 draws; the goal tally stands at 0–3.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 58% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 58%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 1; Jagiellonia 0 wins, 0 draws, Anderlecht 1 win.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.0 goals a game on average.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
- Unavailable: Jagiellonia 0, Anderlecht 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 54%, top price 1.79). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Jagiellonia: no absences. Anderlecht will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 3.12 | 3.67 | 2.37 |
| Market average | 3.00 | 3.52 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.36 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.76 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.12 | 2.08 | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.82 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.24 | 41.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.7%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Jagiellonia 29th (3 points), Anderlecht 15th (6 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Jagiellonia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
- Absences: Jagiellonia 0, Anderlecht 0.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: injuries and missing players
Jagiellonia
- No reported absences
Anderlecht
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Jagiellonia
Home and away
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: last matches of both teams
Jagiellonia
Anderlecht
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Anderlecht +0 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
Our estimate gives Jagiellonia a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Anderlecht 42%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Białystok. Referee: Ondřej Berka.
Who will be missing?
Jagiellonia: no absences. Anderlecht: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79) and under 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.12).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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