Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia, 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Vasil Levski National Stadium (Sophia), with Enea Jorgji officiating. The odds point to Levski Sofia (47%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Levski Sofia win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Levski Sofia lose.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Levski Sofia lie 10th, having collected 7 points after 4 matches (2W 1D 1L); Jagiellonia lie 29th, having collected 3 points (1W 0D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Levski Sofia average 1.0 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.3 against for Jagiellonia.
- Form in the competition. Levski Sofia: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–3; Jagiellonia: 4W 1D 2L, goals 13–9.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–1 scoreline, around 2 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (12.5%). This one looks finely poised.
On goals we go for Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we give a 55% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 50%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 45%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Levski Sofia 3–3, Jagiellonia 13–9.
- Our projection is around 2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
- Unavailable: Levski Sofia 5, Jagiellonia 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 50%, top price 1.91). A projection of around 2 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Levski Sofia: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem, R. Kirilov, A. Mitkov, M. Sangare. Jagiellonia will be without: D. Drachal, C. Polak, N. Wojtuszek, Z. Zalewski. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.08 |
| Market average | 2.01 | 3.31 | 3.90 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.35 | 69.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.72 | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.82 | 24.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 50.0% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.8%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Levski Sofia 10th (7 points), Jagiellonia 29th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Levski Sofia 1W 1D 1L (3:3), Jagiellonia 4W 1D 2L (13:9).
- Absences: Levski Sofia 5, Jagiellonia 4.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: injuries and missing players
Levski Sofia
- P. Hristovnot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Kamdemnot in the squad · will miss the match
- R. Kirilovknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mitkovinjury · will miss the match
- M. Sangarenot in the squad · will miss the match
Jagiellonia
- D. Drachalnot in the squad · will miss the match
- C. Polaknot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Wojtuszeknot in the squad · will miss the match
- Z. Zalewskinot in the squad · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Levski Sofia
Home and away
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: last matches of both teams
Levski Sofia
Jagiellonia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Levski SofiaWWDLJagielloniaLLWLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Levski Sofia -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our estimate gives Levski Sofia a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Jagiellonia 24%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Vasil Levski National Stadium, Sophia. Referee: Enea Jorgji.
Who will be missing?
Levski Sofia: P. Hristov, O. Kamdem, R. Kirilov, A. Mitkov, M. Sangare. Jagiellonia: D. Drachal, C. Polak, N. Wojtuszek, Z. Zalewski. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.20) and under 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 50% (odds 1.91).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (12.5%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.