Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Anderlecht welcome Red Bull Salzburg on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Lotto Park (Brussels), and the referee is Elcin Masiyev. Anderlecht (47%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
Wins: Red Bull Salzburg win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Red Bull Salzburg lose by 1. Loses: Red Bull Salzburg lose by 2 or more.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Anderlecht lie 15th, having collected 6 points after 4 matches (2W 0D 2L); Red Bull Salzburg lie 26th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Anderlecht average 2.0 goals for and 0.8 against, compared with 1.6 for and 1.3 against for Red Bull Salzburg.
- Form in the competition. Anderlecht: 6W 1D 2L, goals 18–7; Red Bull Salzburg: 4W 2D 1L, goals 11–9.
What to expect
In our view Anderlecht hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Anderlecht 18–7, Red Bull Salzburg 11–9.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
- Unavailable: Anderlecht 5, Red Bull Salzburg 11.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Anderlecht: I. Camara, L. Hey, I. Koutsoupias, K. Sardella, M. Winkler. Red Bull Salzburg will be without: E. Aguilar, A. Chase, S. Kitano, F. Matijasevic, J. Mellberg, J. Moser, J. Omoregie, D. Redzic, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, J. Lindstrom. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.07 | 3.97 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.02 | 3.82 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 83.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.61 | 36.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.20 | 43.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.69 | 34.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:17. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 5.6%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Anderlecht 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Anderlecht 15th (6 points), Red Bull Salzburg 26th (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Anderlecht 6W 1D 2L (18:7), Red Bull Salzburg 4W 2D 1L (11:9).
- Absences: Anderlecht 5, Red Bull Salzburg 11.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: injuries and missing players
Anderlecht
- I. Camarafoot injury · will miss the match
- L. Heybroken leg · will miss the match
- I. Koutsoupiasnot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Sardellanot in the squad · doubtful
- M. Winklernot in the squad · doubtful
Red Bull Salzburg
- E. Aguilarmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Chasenot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Kitanoankle injury · will miss the match
- F. Matijasevicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Mellbergmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Mosernot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. OmoregieAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- D. Redzicmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Schmidknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Veratschnigknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Lindstrommuscle injury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | 4-0-0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 4 | 3-1-0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3-0-1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 2-1-1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 2-1-1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2-1-1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | 2-1-1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | 2-0-2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2-0-2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | 2-0-2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | 1-2-1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1-1-2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | 1-1-2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | 1-0-3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzeň | 4 | 1-0-3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | 1-0-3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | 1-0-3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrøm | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań | 4 | 0-1-3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Recent matches
Anderlecht
Home and away
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: last matches of both teams
Anderlecht
Red Bull Salzburg
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
AnderlechtWWLLRed Bull SalzburgLDLWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our estimate gives Anderlecht a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Red Bull Salzburg 28%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Lotto Park, Brussels. Referee: Elcin Masiyev.
Who will be missing?
Anderlecht: I. Camara, L. Hey, I. Koutsoupias, K. Sardella, M. Winkler. Red Bull Salzburg: E. Aguilar, A. Chase, S. Kitano, F. Matijasevic, J. Mellberg, J. Moser, J. Omoregie, D. Redzic, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, J. Lindstrom. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.52) and under 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.0%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (7.2%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.