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Premier League · Matchweek 11 · 22 November 2026 · 14:00

Hull City vs Brighton: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 November 2026, Premier League

VS
1Hull City6.16
XDraw4.62
2Brighton1.57

Top price available · Updated 7/11/26, 05:23

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Our tip for Hull City vs Brighton (Premier League, 22 November 2026, 14:00): Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.62. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.52. The bookmakers' odds give Hull City 17%, the draw 22% and Brighton 61%. The most likely score is 0–2.

Hull City vs Brighton: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.62
Chance 61% · confidence medium

Wins: Hull City win, a draw, Hull City lose by 1. Loses: Hull City lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
Chance 64% · confidence medium
Combo
Brighton with over 2.5 goals
2.45
41% · combo fair odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Brighton (X2) at a probability of 83%, with odds of up to 1.16.
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Hull City vs Brighton: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Hull City lie 11th, having collected 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L); Brighton lie 3rd, having collected 19 points (6W 1D 2L).

What to expect

In our view Brighton hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 0–2 (10.5%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
  2. Unavailable: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.72). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Hull City: no absences. Brighton will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Hull City vs Brighton: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available6.164.621.57
Market average5.724.291.54
Lowest odds5.223.901.47
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1978.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.721.6857.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.312.2542.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.652.6236.2%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.9%
BTTS – no2.052.0246.1%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 7/11/26, 05:23. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.0%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Hull City 0–2 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
  • Absences: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.

Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?

Hull City17%
Draw22%
Brighton61%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Hull City vs Brighton: more betting tips

Draw or Brighton (X2)83.5% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.8% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.52
Likely
Brighton to win61.4% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.72
Possible
Both teams to score: yes53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams to score: no46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.31
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.65
Outsider
Draw22.0% · fair odds 4.54 · best 4.62
Outsider
Hull City to win16.5% · fair odds 6.04 · best 6.16
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Correct score tips

0 : 210.5%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 29.9%
1 : 19.9%
0 : 37.0%
1 : 36.6%

Hull City vs Brighton: injuries and missing players

Hull City

  • No reported absences

Brighton

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Everton104-4-212:1016
6Liverpool94-3-211:915
7Brentford93-5-116:914
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry103-0-710:199
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Hull City

31 OctDHull City 2–2 Ipswich
25 OctDHull City 1–1 Brentford
17 OctLFulham 1–0 Hull City
11 OctDHull City 2–2 Everton
19 SeptLNewcastle 2–1 Hull City

Brighton

5 NovWGetafe 0–1 Brighton
31 OctWManchester City 0–1 Brighton
25 OctLLiverpool 2–0 Brighton
22 OctDFK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
18 OctWBrighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Home and away

Hull City at home5 matches: 1W 4D 0L, goals 7–5
Brighton away5 matches: 3W 0D 2L, goals 11–6

Hull City vs Brighton: last matches of both teams

Hull City

D 31/10/26 · Hull City 2–2 Ipswich
D 25/10/26 · Hull City 1–1 Brentford
L 17/10/26 · Fulham 1–0 Hull City
D 11/10/26 · Hull City 2–2 Everton
L 19/9/26 · Newcastle 2–1 Hull City

Brighton

W 5/11/26 · Getafe 0–1 Brighton
W 31/10/26 · Manchester City 0–1 Brighton
L 25/10/26 · Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
D 22/10/26 · FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton
W 18/10/26 · Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.0%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Hull City vs Brighton?

Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.52).

Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?

Our estimate gives Hull City a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brighton 61%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 November 2026 at 14:00, venue MKM Stadium, Hull.

Who will be missing?

Hull City: no absences. Brighton: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.31).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 0–2 (10.5%), then 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Leeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 NovBrighton vs Brentford 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.

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