Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull), Hull City take on Brentford, with R. Jones in charge. We make Brentford (57%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Wins: Hull City win, a draw, Hull City lose by 1. Loses: Hull City lose by 2 or more.
Hull City vs Brentford: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Hull City lie 11th, having collected 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L); Brentford lie 7th, having collected 14 points (3W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Hull City average 1.1 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.9 for and 1.1 against for Brentford.
- Form in the competition. Hull City: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–7; Brentford: 2W 4D 1L, goals 13–8.
- Head to head. In 9 previous meetings, Hull City have taken 4 wins to Brentford's 2 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 14–15.
What to expect
In our view Brentford hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), which we give a 64% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 57%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 9; Hull City 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 2 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.2 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Hull City 8–7, Brentford 13–8.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
- Unavailable: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford will be without: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Hull City vs Brentford: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 5.10 | 4.21 | 1.73 |
| Market average | 4.85 | 4.08 | 1.69 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.59 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 13:09. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 4.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Hull City 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brentford 7th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Hull City 2W 3D 2L (8:7), Brentford 2W 4D 1L (13:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hull City 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–15.
- Absences: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Hull City vs Brentford: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Hull City vs Brentford: injuries and missing players
Hull City
- I. Ansahback injury · will miss the match
- J. Butlandabsence · will miss the match
- D. Gyabigroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Hughesgroin injury · will miss the match
- E. Matazoknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendygroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Targettankle injury · will miss the match
Brentford
- J. Dasilvamuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Furoabsence · will miss the match
- V. Janeltred card · will miss the match
- A. Milamboknock · will miss the match
- Y. Yarmolyukred card · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4-4-2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Hull City
Home and away
Hull City vs Brentford: last matches of both teams
Hull City
Brentford
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
Hull CityDDLDLBrentfordWDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Hull City vs Brentford?
Hull City +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
Our estimate gives Hull City a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brentford 57%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 14:00, venue MKM Stadium, Hull. Referee: R. Jones.
Who will be missing?
Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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