Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Nordsjælland welcome FC Midtjylland on 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), and the referee is Lasse Kirk Graagaard. We cannot separate the two sides. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Nordsjælland lie 5th, having collected 20 points after 13 matches (5W 5D 3L); FC Midtjylland lie 1st, having collected 31 points (9W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Nordsjælland average 1.5 goals for and 1.2 against, compared with 2.0 for and 1.1 against for FC Midtjylland.
- Form in the competition. FC Nordsjælland: 5W 5D 2L, goals 18–14; FC Midtjylland: 8W 4D 0L, goals 24–13.
- Head to head. In 57 previous meetings, FC Nordsjælland have taken 17 wins to FC Midtjylland's 27 wins, plus 13 draws; the goal tally stands at 78–111.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 2–2 scoreline, around 4 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (10.4%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
Worth noting: the league table leans towards the FC Midtjylland, but the bookmakers make the home side slight favourites. Mixed signals like these make the game hard to predict, so it pays to bet with caution.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.54), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 65%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 57; FC Nordsjælland 17 wins, 13 draws, FC Midtjylland 27 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 3.3 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Nordsjælland 18–14, FC Midtjylland 24–13.
- Our projection is around 4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
- Unavailable: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.67). A projection of around 4 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Nordsjælland: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. FC Midtjylland will be without: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.35 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.69 | 2.78 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.49 | 2.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.54 | 1.49 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 1/11/26, 12:54. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.1%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 1–1 FC Midtjylland, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Nordsjælland 5th (20 points), FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Nordsjælland 5W 5D 2L (18:14), FC Midtjylland 8W 4D 0L (24:13).
- H2H: 57 matches: FC Nordsjælland 17W 13D 27L, goals 78–111.
- Absences: FC Nordsjælland 3, FC Midtjylland 7.
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: injuries and missing players
FC Nordsjælland
- S. Alioknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Mohammedknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Nelssoninjury · doubtful
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
- P. Billinginjury · doubtful
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 14 | 3-6-5 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 14 | 2-5-7 | 19:29 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Nordsjælland
Home and away
FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland: last matches of both teams
FC Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC NordsjællandLDDDLFC MidtjyllandWWWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
Draw or FC Midtjylland (X2) (1.65); Over 2.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland?
Our estimate gives FC Nordsjælland a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Midtjylland 34%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 1 November 2026 at 15:00, venue Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard.
Who will be missing?
FC Nordsjælland: S. Alio, A. Mohammed, V. Nelsson. FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson, P. Billing. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.54) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (10.4%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (7.8%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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