Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby, 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), with Jakob Kehlet officiating. The odds point to FC Midtjylland (67%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: FC Midtjylland win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): FC Midtjylland win by 1. Loses: a draw, FC Midtjylland lose.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. FC Midtjylland lie 1st, having collected 31 points after 13 matches (9W 4D 0L); Lyngby lie 11th, having collected 11 points (2W 5D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, FC Midtjylland average 1.9 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.4 for and 2.2 against for Lyngby.
- Form in the competition. FC Midtjylland: 7W 4D 0L, goals 21–11; Lyngby: 1W 5D 5L, goals 15–24.
- Head to head. In 23 previous meetings, FC Midtjylland have taken 10 wins to Lyngby's 7 wins, plus 6 draws; the goal tally stands at 33–33.
What to expect
In our view FC Midtjylland hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.62), which we give a 60% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 23; FC Midtjylland 10 wins, 6 draws, Lyngby 7 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 2.9 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: FC Midtjylland 21–11, Lyngby 15–24.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
- Unavailable: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 52%, top price 1.87). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Lyngby will be without: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.44 | 5.38 | 6.84 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.07 | 6.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.38 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.91 | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 25/10/26, 12:53. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 2–1 Lyngby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points), Lyngby 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Midtjylland 7W 4D 0L (21:11), Lyngby 1W 5D 5L (15:24).
- H2H: 23 matches: FC Midtjylland 10W 6D 7L, goals 33–33.
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: injuries and missing players
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
Lyngby
- O. Snorreknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Thorvaldssonabsence · will miss the match
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Silkeborg | 14 | 3-6-5 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 14 | 2-5-7 | 19:29 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: last matches of both teams
FC Midtjylland
Lyngby
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
FC MidtjyllandWWWWDLyngbyLWLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
FC Midtjylland -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Our estimate gives FC Midtjylland a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lyngby 15%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 25 October 2026 at 13:00, venue MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: Jakob Kehlet.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Lyngby: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.44) and under 2.5 goals at 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.62).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–1 (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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