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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Nordsjælland1.43
XDraw5.20
2CSKA Sofia8.00

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland welcome CSKA Sofia on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Right to Dream Park (Farum), and the referee is Robert Jones, England. FC Nordsjælland (68%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
FC Nordsjælland -1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.89
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: FC Nordsjælland win by 2 or more. Half lost (half the stake back): FC Nordsjælland win by 1. Loses: a draw, FC Nordsjælland lose.

Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
FC Nordsjælland with over 2.5 goals
2.06
48% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X) at a probability of 87%, with odds of up to 1.11.
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FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. FC Nordsjælland lie 25th, having collected 2 points after 3 matches (0W 2D 1L); CSKA Sofia lie 28th, having collected 1 point (0W 1D 2L).

What to expect

In our view FC Nordsjælland hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (10.3%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we give a 62% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 55%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 62%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
  2. Unavailable: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.65). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for FC Nordsjælland: no absences. CSKA Sofia will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.435.208.00
Market average1.394.867.14
Lowest odds1.334.396.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5062.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4937.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2641.6%
BTTS – yes1.731.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 16:28. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.9%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Nordsjælland 25th (2 points), CSKA Sofia 28th (1 point).
  • Absences: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland68%
Draw19%
CSKA Sofia13%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: more betting tips

FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X)86.8% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.3% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
FC Nordsjælland to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.43
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams to score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Both teams to score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.20
Outsider
CSKA Sofia to win13.2% · fair odds 7.59 · best 8.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.4%

Correct score tips

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: injuries and missing players

FC Nordsjælland

  • No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

FC Nordsjælland

5 NovLMonaco 2–0 FC Nordsjælland
1 NovLFC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
25 OctDSilkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
18 OctDLyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

5 NovLPanathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
15 OctLCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Home and away

FC Nordsjælland at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2
CSKA Sofia away2 matches: 0W 1D 1L, goals 3–4

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: last matches of both teams

FC Nordsjælland

L 5/11/26 · Monaco 2–0 FC Nordsjælland
L 1/11/26 · FC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
D 25/10/26 · Silkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
D 18/10/26 · Lyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

L 5/11/26 · Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA Sofia
L 15/10/26 · CSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Our estimate gives FC Nordsjælland a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and CSKA Sofia 13%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 17:45, venue Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: Robert Jones, England.

Who will be missing?

FC Nordsjælland: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55) and under 2.5 goals at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 55% (odds 1.73).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.