Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium (Athens), with Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden officiating. The odds point to Panathinaikos (71%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Panathinaikos win by 2 or more. Stake back: Panathinaikos win by 1. Loses: a draw, Panathinaikos lose.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Panathinaikos lie 2nd, having collected 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L); CSKA Sofia lie 28th, having collected 1 point (0W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Panathinaikos average 2.3 goals for and 1.3 against, compared with 1.5 for and 2.0 against for CSKA Sofia.
- Form in the competition. Panathinaikos: 5W 3D 0L, goals 18–10; CSKA Sofia: 0W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
What to expect
In our view Panathinaikos hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), which we give a 61% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 51%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 61%.
The prediction at a glance
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Panathinaikos 18–10, CSKA Sofia 3–4.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
- Unavailable: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Another angle: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, top price 1.61). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Panathinaikos: no absences. CSKA Sofia will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 1.37 | 5.62 | 9.00 |
| Market average | 1.33 | 5.29 | 8.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 4.80 | 6.95 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.53 | 2.38 | 39.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.37 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.83 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.4% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Panathinaikos 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Panathinaikos 2nd (9 points), CSKA Sofia 28th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Panathinaikos 5W 3D 0L (18:10), CSKA Sofia 0W 1D 1L (3:4).
- Absences: Panathinaikos 0, CSKA Sofia 0.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: injuries and missing players
Panathinaikos
- No reported absences
CSKA Sofia
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3-0-0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjällby AIF | 3 | 2-1-0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2-0-1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2-0-1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1-1-1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0-3-0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0-2-1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjælland | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0-2-1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0-1-2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Panathinaikos
Home and away
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia: last matches of both teams
Panathinaikos
CSKA Sofia
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
PanathinaikosWWWCSKA SofiaLDLReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Panathinaikos -1 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia?
Our estimate gives Panathinaikos a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and CSKA Sofia 11%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 20:00, venue Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium, Athens. Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Panathinaikos: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57) and under 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.53).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 51% (odds 1.95).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 2–0 (11.9%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
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