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Superliga · Matchweek 11 · 18 October 2026 · 17:00

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: prediction, odds and betting tip – 18 October 2026, Superliga

1–1
LWDWD
1FC Copenhagen1.59
XDraw4.48
2Aarhus5.46

Top price available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:52

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus, 18 October 2026 · 17:00 at Parken Stadium (Copenhagen), with Lasse Kirk Graagaard officiating. The odds point to FC Copenhagen (59%) as favourites. Below: our tip, outcome probabilities, team news and analysis.

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Aarhus +1 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Chance 52% · confidence medium

Wins: Aarhus win, a draw. Stake back: Aarhus lose by 1. Loses: Aarhus lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Chance 63% · confidence medium
Combo
FC Copenhagen with over 2.5 goals
2.47
40% · combo fair odds
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Copenhagen or draw (1X) at a probability of 82%, with odds of up to 1.17.
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FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. FC Copenhagen lie 2nd, having collected 29 points after 13 matches (9W 2D 2L); Aarhus lie 9th, having collected 12 points (2W 6D 5L).

What to expect

In our view FC Copenhagen hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–1 (9.9%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 63% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 56%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
  2. Unavailable: FC Copenhagen 0, Aarhus 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, top price 1.68). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for FC Copenhagen: no absences. Aarhus will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.594.485.46
Market average1.574.165.11
Lowest odds1.554.004.93
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1779.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.5958.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.2141.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.692.5536.9%
BTTS – yes1.701.6556.1%
BTTS – no2.172.1143.9%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 18/10/26, 12:52. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 7.3%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: FC Copenhagen 2–1 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Copenhagen 2nd (29 points), Aarhus 9th (12 points).
  • Absences: FC Copenhagen 0, Aarhus 0.

Who will win FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?

FC Copenhagen59%
Draw22%
Aarhus18%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: more betting tips

FC Copenhagen or draw (1X)81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.1% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.50
Likely
FC Copenhagen to win59.3% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.59
Possible
Over 2.5 goals58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
Both teams to score: yes56.1% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams to score: no43.9% · fair odds 2.28 · best 2.17
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.9% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.9% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.69
Outsider
Draw22.4% · fair odds 4.46 · best 4.48
Outsider
Aarhus to win18.3% · fair odds 5.47 · best 5.46
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%

Correct score tips

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.9%
2 : 09.5%
1 : 09.5%
3 : 16.6%
3 : 06.3%

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: injuries and missing players

FC Copenhagen

  • No reported absences

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Midtjylland139-4-027:1531
2FC Copenhagen139-2-228:1229
3Viborg137-2-420:1223
4Brøndby137-1-523:2022
5FC Nordsjælland135-5-320:1720
6Odense134-5-415:1717
7AC Horsens134-4-523:2116
8Silkeborg143-6-518:2415
9Aarhus132-6-517:2112
10Randers FC133-2-813:2111
11Lyngby142-5-719:2911
12Sønderjyske132-2-917:318

Recent matches

FC Copenhagen

5 NovWFC Copenhagen 2–1 FC Iberia 1999
2 NovWSønderjyske 0–2 FC Copenhagen
26 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Odense
22 OctDFK Crvena Zvezda 2–2 FC Copenhagen
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

Aarhus

5 NovDAarhus 0–0 SC Braga
1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

Home and away

FC Copenhagen at home6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 12–5
Aarhus away7 matches: 0W 3D 4L, goals 7–13

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: last matches of both teams

FC Copenhagen

W 5/11/26 · FC Copenhagen 2–1 FC Iberia 1999
W 2/11/26 · Sønderjyske 0–2 FC Copenhagen
D 26/10/26 · FC Copenhagen 1–1 Odense
D 22/10/26 · FK Crvena Zvezda 2–2 FC Copenhagen

Aarhus

D 5/11/26 · Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga
L 1/11/26 · Brøndby 2–0 Aarhus
W 25/10/26 · Aarhus 2–1 Viborg
D 22/10/26 · Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?

Aarhus +1 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).

Who will win FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?

Our estimate gives FC Copenhagen a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aarhus 18%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 18 October 2026 at 17:00, venue Parken Stadium, Copenhagen. Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard.

Who will be missing?

FC Copenhagen: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68) and under 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 56% (odds 1.70).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–1 (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

More predictions

Odense vs Viborg 7 NovFC Copenhagen vs Brøndby 8 NovAarhus vs AC Horsens 8 NovRanders FC vs FC Nordsjælland 8 NovFC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske 8 Nov

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.