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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 3 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Aarhus vs SC Braga: prediction, odds and betting tip – 5 November 2026, UEFA Conference League

0–0
1Aarhus4.44
XDraw3.70
2SC Braga1.92

Top price available · Updated 5/11/26, 16:16

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Aarhus welcome SC Braga on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Cepheus Park Randers (Randers), and the referee is Florian Badstübner, Germany. SC Braga (51%) are our favourites for this one. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, team news and a full analysis.

Aarhus vs SC Braga: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
SC Braga -0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.73
Chance 58% · confidence medium

Wins: SC Braga win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: SC Braga lose.

Second tip · Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Chance 54% · confidence medium
Combo
SC Braga with over 2.5 goals
3.21
31% · combo fair odds
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or SC Braga (X2) at a probability of 77%, with odds of up to 1.25.
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Aarhus vs SC Braga: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Aarhus lie 24th, having collected 2 points after 3 matches (0W 2D 1L); SC Braga lie 17th, having collected 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Aarhus average 0.5 goals for and 1.0 against, compared with 1.3 for and 0.4 against for SC Braga.
  3. Form in the competition. Aarhus: 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–2; SC Braga: 5W 2D 1L, goals 10–3.

What to expect

In our view SC Braga hold the advantage. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one looks finely poised.

On goals we go for Both teams to score (odds 1.75), which we give a 54% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 54%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 51%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Scored and conceded in this competition: Aarhus 1–2, SC Braga 10–3.
  2. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
  3. Unavailable: Aarhus 0, SC Braga 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 51%, top price 1.93). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Aarhus: no absences. SC Braga will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Aarhus vs SC Braga: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available4.443.701.92
Market average4.173.551.85
Lowest odds3.833.301.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2574.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.931.8651.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.981.9449.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0930.3%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.5%
BTTS – no2.101.9946.5%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 5/11/26, 16:16. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.5%.

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The key facts

  • Likely result: Aarhus 1–1 SC Braga, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Aarhus 24th (2 points), SC Braga 17th (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: Aarhus 0W 1D 1L (1:2), SC Braga 5W 2D 1L (10:3).
  • Absences: Aarhus 0, SC Braga 0.

Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?

Aarhus23%
Draw27%
SC Braga51%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Aarhus vs SC Braga: more betting tips

Draw or SC Braga (X2)77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.5% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Both teams to score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.93
Possible
SC Braga to win50.9% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.92
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams to score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.3% · fair odds 3.30 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.77 · best 3.70
Outsider
Aarhus to win22.6% · fair odds 4.43 · best 4.44
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.07
probability of over 55.1%

Correct score tips

1 : 111.6%
0 : 111.1%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 29.1%
1 : 07.1%
0 : 06.7%

Aarhus vs SC Braga: injuries and missing players

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

SC Braga

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

Aarhus

5 NovDAarhus 0–0 SC Braga
1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

SC Braga

5 NovDAarhus 0–0 SC Braga
1 NovWSC Braga 3–0 Famalicão
25 OctLNacional 1–0 SC Braga
22 OctWSC Braga 2–0 Gent
19 OctLSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente

Home and away

Aarhus at home2 matches: 0W 2D 0L, goals 1–1
SC Braga away2 matches: 0W 1D 1L, goals 0–3

Aarhus vs SC Braga: last matches of both teams

Aarhus

L 1/11/26 · Brøndby 2–0 Aarhus
W 25/10/26 · Aarhus 2–1 Viborg
D 22/10/26 · Aarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
D 18/10/26 · FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

SC Braga

W 1/11/26 · SC Braga 3–0 Famalicão
L 25/10/26 · Nacional 1–0 SC Braga
W 22/10/26 · SC Braga 2–0 Gent
L 19/10/26 · SC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente

Team comparison

AarhusSC Braga
11%Form89%
20%Attack80%
60%Defence40%
40.3%Overall59.8%

All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.

Form in the competition

AarhusDDL
SC BragaDWL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.5%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Aarhus vs SC Braga?

SC Braga -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Both teams to score (1.75).

Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?

Our estimate gives Aarhus a 23% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SC Braga 51%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 5 November 2026 at 17:45, venue Cepheus Park Randers, Randers. Referee: Florian Badstübner, Germany.

Who will be missing?

Aarhus: no absences. SC Braga: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.93) and under 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.98).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 0–1 (11.1%) and 1–2 (9.6%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.