Football
Home › Predictions › Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: prediction, odds and betting tip – 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Aarhus1.52
XDraw4.74
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë7.11

Top price available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisFAQ

Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

On 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Vejlby Stadion (Aarhus), Aarhus take on Egnatia Rrogozhinë, with Ante Čulina, Croatia in charge. We make Aarhus (65%) the favourites. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Aarhus -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.68
Chance 60% · confidence medium

Wins: Aarhus win by 2 or more. Half wins (half the stake back): Aarhus win by 1. Loses: a draw, Aarhus lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Chance 65% · confidence medium
Combo
Aarhus with over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · combo fair odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Aarhus or draw (1X) at a probability of 86%, with odds of up to 1.14.
Freshbet100% UP TO £1500
Bet now →

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: our analysis

Why we chose this tip

  1. Table. Aarhus lie 24th, having collected 2 points after 3 matches (0W 2D 1L); Egnatia Rrogozhinë lie 26th, having collected 2 points (0W 2D 1L).

What to expect

In our view Aarhus hold the advantage. We project a 2–1 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 2–0 (11.0%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.

On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 52%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57%.

The prediction at a glance

  1. Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
  2. Unavailable: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Another angle: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, top price 1.71). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.

Absences

Unavailable for Aarhus: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: bookmaker odds side by side

Match result1X2
Top price available1.524.747.11
Market average1.444.516.60
Lowest odds1.404.105.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6656.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.242.1843.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6435.4%
BTTS – yes1.821.7951.8%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.2%

Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 6.7%.

All bookmakers →

The key facts

  • Likely result: Aarhus 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Aarhus 24th (2 points), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 26th (2 points).
  • Absences: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus65%
Draw21%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë14%

We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: more betting tips

Aarhus or draw (1X)85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Aarhus to win64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.71
Possible
Both teams to score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.82
Possible
Both teams to score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.74
Outsider
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win14.2% · fair odds 7.02 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.

Corners and cards betting

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Correct score tips

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: injuries and missing players

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • No reported absences

Team news can still change before the game.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Lugano33-0-011:49
2Panathinaikos33-0-09:39
3Twente33-0-08:29
4Monaco33-0-07:19
5Brighton32-1-05:07
6Brann32-1-07:37
7FC Copenhagen32-1-07:37
8Universitatea Craiova32-1-06:27
9Mjällby AIF32-1-05:17
10St. Truiden32-1-04:17
11Ajax32-0-19:36
12Trabzonspor32-0-16:36
13HNK Hajduk Split32-0-13:26
14SC Freiburg32-0-14:56
15FK Crvena Zvezda31-1-16:64
16Atalanta31-1-14:44
17SC Braga31-1-12:34
18Gent31-1-11:24
19Riga30-3-03:33
20FC Thun31-0-23:33
21Borac Banja Luka31-0-23:43
22Lincoln Red Imps FC31-0-23:63
23FK Jablonec30-2-13:42
24Aarhus30-2-11:22
25FC Nordsjælland30-2-13:52
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë30-2-12:42
27Kairat Almaty30-2-13:72
28CSKA Sofia30-1-24:61
29FC Iberia 199930-1-22:51
30Pafos30-1-23:71
31Getafe30-1-23:71
32Heart Of Midlothian30-1-22:61
33KuPS30-1-22:61
34FC Midtjylland30-1-22:81
35Inter Club d'Escaldes30-0-32:70
36Kauno Žalgiris30-0-31:110

Recent matches

Aarhus

5 NovDAarhus 0–0 SC Braga
1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

5 NovLUniversitatea Craiova 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Home and away

Aarhus at home2 matches: 0W 2D 0L, goals 1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away2 matches: 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–3

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: last matches of both teams

Aarhus

D 5/11/26 · Aarhus 0–0 SC Braga
L 1/11/26 · Brøndby 2–0 Aarhus
W 25/10/26 · Aarhus 2–1 Viborg
D 18/10/26 · FC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

L 5/11/26 · Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
D 15/10/26 · Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

Which tip do we give for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Our estimate gives Aarhus a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 14%.

What is the date, time and venue of the game?

Kick-off is on 22 October 2026 at 20:00, venue Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus. Referee: Ante Čulina, Croatia.

Who will be missing?

Aarhus: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?

We put over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71) and under 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.24).

Will both teams score?

We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 52% (odds 1.82).

What correct score do we see as likeliest?

Top of our list is 2–0 (11.0%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

How do you put your predictions together?

Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.

18+ · Every bet carries a risk. Our predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning. Gamble responsibly.