Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
On 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkirk), Dunkerque take on Guingamp, with Pierre Gaillouste in charge. We rate the game as a toss-up. Our tip, the probabilities of each outcome, absences and our analysis follow below.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: our analysis
Why we chose this tip
- Table. Dunkerque lie 10th, having collected 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L); Guingamp lie 11th, having collected 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Per game in this competition, Dunkerque average 1.3 goals for and 1.5 against, compared with 1.5 for and 1.4 against for Guingamp.
- Form in the competition. Dunkerque: 3W 3D 5L, goals 14–17; Guingamp: 4W 2D 5L, goals 16–15.
- Head to head. In 11 previous meetings, Dunkerque have taken 4 wins to Guingamp's 4 wins, plus 3 draws; the goal tally stands at 10–10.
What to expect
In our view there is little between the sides. We project a 1–2 scoreline, around 3 goals altogether, and the single likeliest outcome is 1–1 (11.6%). This one should be open, with chances at both ends.
On goals we go for Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), which we give a 65% chance. In our view both teams score with a probability of 60%, and over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56%.
The prediction at a glance
- Meetings: 11; Dunkerque 4 wins, 3 draws, Guingamp 4 wins.
- Head to head meetings have produced 1.8 goals a game on average.
- Scored and conceded in this competition: Dunkerque 14–17, Guingamp 16–15.
- Our projection is around 3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
- Unavailable: Dunkerque 0, Guingamp 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams to score: yes
Another angle: Both teams to score: yes (probability 60%, top price 1.57). A projection of around 3 goals supports it.
Absences
Unavailable for Dunkerque: no absences. Guingamp will be without: no absences. Team news can change, so take another look before the game.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: bookmaker odds side by side
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top price available | 2.94 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Market average | 2.74 | 3.44 | 2.36 |
| Lowest odds | 2.55 | 3.16 | 2.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.16 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.63 | 35.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.42 | 2.34 | 39.6% |
Prices gathered from several bookmakers and refreshed 6/11/26, 18:00. Use them as a guide: what a particular operator offers can be different. Margin on average: 8.0%.
The key facts
- Likely result: Dunkerque 1–1 Guingamp, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dunkerque 10th (15 points), Guingamp 11th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Dunkerque 3W 3D 5L (14:17), Guingamp 4W 2D 5L (16:15).
- H2H: 11 matches: Dunkerque 4W 3D 4L, goals 10–10.
- Absences: Dunkerque 0, Guingamp 0.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
We work out this estimate from the odds of several bookmakers once their margin has been removed. No outcome is ever certain.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. A price is value when the best odds on offer beat the fair odds. Likely: 60% or more; possible: 50–60%; outsider: below 50%.
Corners and cards betting
Correct score tips
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: injuries and missing players
Dunkerque
- No reported absences
Guingamp
- No reported absences
Team news can still change before the game.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nancy | 12 | 8-1-3 | 17:9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Montpellier | 12 | 7-3-2 | 18:9 | 24 |
| 4 |  Reims | 12 | 5-6-1 | 24:15 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Dijon | 12 | 5-3-4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 7 |  Metz | 12 | 4-5-3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 8 |  RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 9 |  Annecy | 12 | 5-1-6 | 14:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4-3-5 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4-2-6 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 12 |  Boulogne | 12 | 2-7-3 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 13 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 |  Sochaux | 12 | 2-5-5 | 8:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Grenoble | 12 | 3-2-7 | 13:22 | 11 |
| 16 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 17 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 18 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dunkerque
Home and away
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: last matches of both teams
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Team comparison
All figures are drawn from the games played so far this season, which is still a limited sample.
Form in the competition
DunkerqueWLDWLGuingampLWWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which tip do we give for Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
Over 2.5 goals (1.72); Draw or Guingamp (X2) (1.47).
Who will win Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
Our estimate gives Dunkerque a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guingamp 39%.
What is the date, time and venue of the game?
Kick-off is on 6 November 2026 at 19:00, venue Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk. Referee: Pierre Gaillouste.
Who will be missing?
Dunkerque: no absences. Guingamp: no absences. Team news can still change before kick-off.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in this game?
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.72) and under 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
We put the chance of both teams finding the net at 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score do we see as likeliest?
Top of our list is 1–1 (11.6%), then 1–2 (8.7%) and 0–1 (8.3%).
How do you put your predictions together?
Our starting point is the odds of several bookmakers: we take out the margin, average what is left and turn it into probabilities, then a Poisson model gives the expected goals and the likeliest scorelines. Form, head to head and absences are shown on the page as background. The predictions are meant as information and offer no guarantee of winning.
More predictions
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